AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Feb 05, 2026

Al-Karma

Home
VS
14:30

Al-Talaba

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Al-Karma Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Al-Talaba Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 60%
Market 46%
Combined: 42% Draw Risk: 55%
Asian Handicap: Home -0.5
xG: 0.72 - 0.51
Key Insights
Asian Handicap: Home -0.5
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Karma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Al-Talaba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
60%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (29%) 1-0 (21%) 0-1 (15%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 13%
Under 2.5 Goals 87%
Al-Karma Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Al-Karma vs Al Karkh 1-1
Jan 27 Al-Karma vs Newroz 0-1
Jan 22 Al-Karma vs Baghdad 2-1
Jan 18 Al-Karma vs Mosul 1-3
Jan 13 Al-Karma vs Al-Qasim … 1-0
Jan 09 Al-Karma vs Al Quwa A… 1-0
Jan 05 Al-Karma vs Al Najaf 2-0
Dec 31 Al-Karma vs Gharraf 0-1
Dec 27 Al-Karma vs Zakho 0-0
Nov 22 Al-Karma vs Al Minaa … 2-0
Al-Talaba Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 31 Al-Talaba vs Gharraf 3-1
Jan 27 Al-Talaba vs Diyala 1-1
Jan 23 Al-Talaba vs Erbil 0-2
Jan 19 Al-Talaba vs Al Minaa … 1-2
Jan 14 Al-Talaba vs Newroz 0-1
Jan 10 Al-Talaba vs Al Kahrab… 2-0
Jan 04 Al-Talaba vs Al-Qasim … 0-3
Dec 31 Al-Talaba vs Mosul 0-0
Dec 26 Al-Talaba vs Al Shorta… 1-0
Nov 23 Al-Talaba vs Baghdad 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Karma in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Al-Talaba in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 12, 2025 Al-Karma 1 - 1 Al-Talaba Iraqi League
Oct 24, 2024 Al-Talaba 2 - 0 Al-Karma Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Karma to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Karma Power 0
Al-Talaba Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Al-Karma Position

+2

Position Gap

5

Al-Talaba Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.