AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
CONCACAF Champions League Feb 12, 2026

Monterrey

Home
VS
03:00

Xelajú

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Monterrey Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Xelajú Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 69%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.00 - 0.38
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Monterrey Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
37%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Xelajú Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
68%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (25%) 1-0 (25%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (10%) 1-1 (10%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 16%
Under 2.5 Goals 84%
Monterrey Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Monterrey vs Xelajú 1-1
Feb 01 Monterrey vs Club Tiju… 2-2
Jan 17 Monterrey vs Mazatlán … 1-5
Jan 14 Monterrey vs Necaxa 0-2
Jan 11 Monterrey vs Toluca 0-1
Jan 05 Monterrey vs Atlas 1-2
Jan 04 Monterrey vs Leones Ne… 0-3
Dec 07 Monterrey vs Toluca 3-2
Dec 04 Monterrey vs Toluca 1-0
Nov 29 Monterrey vs Club Amér… 2-1
Xelajú Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Xelajú vs Monterrey 1-1
Feb 01 Xelajú vs Comunicac… 2-0
Jan 29 Xelajú vs Municipal 1-0
Jan 26 Xelajú vs Antigua G… 1-1
Jan 21 Xelajú vs Aurora 4-0
Dec 12 Xelajú vs Antigua G… 2-0
Dec 09 Xelajú vs Antigua G… 1-0
Nov 30 Xelajú vs Comunicac… 0-1
Nov 27 Xelajú vs LD Alajue… 1-1
Nov 22 Xelajú vs Cobán Imp… 3-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 05, 2026 Xelajú 1 - 1 Monterrey CONCACAF Champ…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Monterrey to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Monterrey Power 0
Xelajú Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.