AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Copa Costa Rica Feb 12, 2026

AD Carmelita

Home
VS
00:00

Deportivo Saprissa

Away
AI Predictions 37.0% Confidence
AD Carmelita Win
37.0%
Draw
26.6%
Deportivo Saprissa Win
36.4%
Home Win (37% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 49%
xG: 2.14 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.1 vs 0.7
High draw risk (49%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AD Carmelita Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
12%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
19%
4 goals:
10%
Deportivo Saprissa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (14%) 1-0 (13%) 3-0 (10%) 2-1 (9%) 1-1 (9%) 3-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 43%
Over 2.5 Goals 51%
Under 2.5 Goals 49%
AD Carmelita Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 AD Carmel… vs Pitbulls … 0-0
Jan 23 AD Carmel… vs Cariari P… 1-1
Jan 19 AD Carmel… vs Escorpion… 1-0
Nov 30 AD Carmel… vs Inter San… 3-2
Nov 23 AD Carmel… vs Inter San… 1-2
Nov 16 AD Carmel… vs Santa Ana 2-0
Nov 02 AD Carmel… vs Aserri FC 1-1
Oct 31 AD Carmel… vs Futbol Co… 0-1
Oct 24 AD Carmel… vs CS Uruguay 1-1
Oct 19 AD Carmel… vs Pitbulls … 2-0
Deportivo Saprissa Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 29 Deportivo… vs Perez Zel… 3-3
Jan 26 Deportivo… vs CS Cartag… 0-0
Jan 23 Deportivo… vs Sporting … 0-1
Jan 18 Deportivo… vs CS Heredi… 2-0
Jan 14 Deportivo… vs Puntarena… 2-2
Dec 21 Deportivo… vs LD Alajue… 3-1
Dec 18 Deportivo… vs LD Alajue… 2-2
Dec 14 Deportivo… vs CS Cartag… 2-1
Dec 12 Deportivo… vs CS Cartag… 1-2
Dec 06 Deportivo… vs Sporting … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • AD Carmelita struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Final Verdict

STANDARD: AD Carmelita to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AD Carmelita Power 0
Deportivo Saprissa Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.