AI Match Insights

CONMEBOL Libertadores Feb 12, 2026

Alianza Lima

Home
VS
00:30

2 de Mayo

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Alianza Lima Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
2 de Mayo Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 4.50 - 2.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 2.8
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alianza Lima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
2 de Mayo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (4%) 3-3 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-2 (3%) 2-3 (3%) 2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Alianza Lima Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Alianza L… vs 2 de Mayo 1-0
Jan 30 Alianza L… vs Sport Hua… 1-2
Jan 19 Alianza L… vs Colo-Colo 2-3
Dec 07 Alianza L… vs Sporting … 3-3
Dec 03 Alianza L… vs Sporting … 1-1
Nov 23 Alianza L… vs UTC 3-0
Nov 05 Alianza L… vs Cultural … 1-2
Nov 01 Alianza L… vs FBC Melgar 2-2
Oct 20 Alianza L… vs Sport Hua… 1-2
Oct 17 Alianza L… vs Sport Boys 3-1
2 de Mayo Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 2 de Mayo vs Alianza L… 1-0
Jan 31 2 de Mayo vs Nacional … 5-1
Jan 28 2 de Mayo vs Olimpia 1-1
Jan 23 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo … 1-2
Nov 26 2 de Mayo vs Olimpia 3-3
Nov 21 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo… 0-2
Nov 16 2 de Mayo vs General C… 0-1
Nov 10 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo … 2-3
Nov 05 2 de Mayo vs Club Guar… 1-0
Oct 31 2 de Mayo vs Atlético … 0-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 05, 2026 2 de Mayo 1 - 0 Alianza Lima CONMEBOL Liber…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Alianza Lima to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Alianza Lima Power 0
2 de Mayo Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.