AI Match Insights
CONMEBOL Libertadores Feb 12, 2026
Alianza Lima
HomeVS
00:30
2 de Mayo
AwayAI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Alianza Lima Win
Draw
2 de Mayo Win
Home Win
(51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-2
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
89%
Standings
50%
Market
50%
Combined: 50%
Draw Risk: 26%
xG: 4.50 - 2.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 2.8
High draw risk (26%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Alianza Lima Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
2 de Mayo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-2 (4%)
3-3 (4%)
3-1 (3%)
2-2 (3%)
2-3 (3%)
2-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
93%
Over 2.5 Goals
63%
Under 2.5 Goals
37%
Alianza Lima Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 05 | Alianza L… vs 2 de Mayo | 1-0 |
| Jan 30 | Alianza L… vs Sport Hua… | 1-2 |
| Jan 19 | Alianza L… vs Colo-Colo | 2-3 |
| Dec 07 | Alianza L… vs Sporting … | 3-3 |
| Dec 03 | Alianza L… vs Sporting … | 1-1 |
| Nov 23 | Alianza L… vs UTC | 3-0 |
| Nov 05 | Alianza L… vs Cultural … | 1-2 |
| Nov 01 | Alianza L… vs FBC Melgar | 2-2 |
| Oct 20 | Alianza L… vs Sport Hua… | 1-2 |
| Oct 17 | Alianza L… vs Sport Boys | 3-1 |
2 de Mayo Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 05 | 2 de Mayo vs Alianza L… | 1-0 |
| Jan 31 | 2 de Mayo vs Nacional … | 5-1 |
| Jan 28 | 2 de Mayo vs Olimpia | 1-1 |
| Jan 23 | 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo … | 1-2 |
| Nov 26 | 2 de Mayo vs Olimpia | 3-3 |
| Nov 21 | 2 de Mayo vs Deportivo… | 0-2 |
| Nov 16 | 2 de Mayo vs General C… | 0-1 |
| Nov 10 | 2 de Mayo vs Sportivo … | 2-3 |
| Nov 05 | 2 de Mayo vs Club Guar… | 1-0 |
| Oct 31 | 2 de Mayo vs Atlético … | 0-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
No specific factors identified for this match.
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 05, 2026 | 2 de Mayo | 1 - 0 | Alianza Lima | CONMEBOL Liber… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Alianza Lima to win (30% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Alianza Lima Power
0
2 de Mayo Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.