AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Sergipano Feb 10, 2023

Lagarto

Home
VS
23:15

América Mineiro

Away
AI Predictions 63.0% Confidence
Lagarto Win
63.0%
Draw
21.4%
América Mineiro Win
15.6%
Home Win (63% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 22%
xG: 4.50 - 0.43
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Lagarto Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
América Mineiro Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
65%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 1-0 (3%) 2-1 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 35%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Lagarto Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Lagarto vs Dorense 4-1
Jan 21 Lagarto vs Falcon 1-0
Mar 20 Lagarto vs AO Itabai… 0-0
Mar 12 Lagarto vs América M… 4-1
Feb 09 Lagarto vs América M… 0-1
Feb 05 Lagarto vs AO Itabai… 1-2
May 09 Lagarto vs AO Itabai… 0-2
May 06 Lagarto vs AO Itabai… 2-0
May 01 Lagarto vs AO Itabai… 1-1
Mar 24 Lagarto vs AO Itabai… 0-2
América Mineiro Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 07 América M… vs Athletic … 1-1
Jan 30 América M… vs Sergipe 2-0
Sep 29 América M… vs Cuiabá 2-1
Jun 04 América M… vs Cuiabá 2-1
Mar 12 América M… vs Lagarto 4-1
Mar 12 América M… vs Uberlândia 2-1
Feb 19 América M… vs Uniao Tra… 0-0
Feb 09 América M… vs Lagarto 0-1
Feb 05 América M… vs Athletic … 1-1
Jan 30 América M… vs Democrata… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Lagarto in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • AmĂ©rica Mineiro struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 12, 2022 Lagarto 4 - 1 América Mineiro Sergipano
Feb 09, 2022 América Mineiro 0 - 1 Lagarto Sergipano
Final Verdict

MASTER: Lagarto to win (78% confidence)

MASTER Tier
Predicted: 1-0 78% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_15+ (79.5%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • Huge position gap: 96
Lagarto Power 0
América Mineiro Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.