AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
GFA League Apr 18, 2023

Fortune

Home
VS
16:00

Samger

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Fortune Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Samger Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 82%
Market 50%
Combined: 55% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.90 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.2 Position gap: 11 places
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Fortune Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Samger Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (23%) 2-0 (22%) 3-0 (14%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (5%) 2-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 15%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Fortune Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Fortune vs Samger 1-0
Feb 20 Fortune vs Greater T… 0-0
Jan 15 Fortune vs Hawks 0-1
Aug 13 Fortune vs Samger 3-2
Jul 20 Fortune vs Hawks 2-1
Mar 12 Fortune vs Samger 1-0
Feb 28 Fortune vs Hawks 1-2
May 08 Fortune vs Hawks 1-0
Feb 05 Fortune vs Hawks 0-0
Samger Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Samger vs Fortune 1-0
Mar 25 Samger vs Falcons 0-0
Mar 19 Samger vs Team Rhino 0-2
Feb 14 Samger vs Brikama U… 2-0
Feb 08 Samger vs Real de B… 5-0
Aug 13 Samger vs Fortune 3-2
Jul 04 Samger vs Brikama U… 0-1
Jun 20 Samger vs Real de B… 1-0
May 21 Samger vs GPA 0-1
May 07 Samger vs Falcons 0-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Fortune struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Samger struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 30, 2023 Samger 1 - 0 Fortune GFA League
Aug 13, 2022 Samger 3 - 2 Fortune GFA League
Mar 12, 2022 Fortune 1 - 0 Samger GFA League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Fortune to win (46% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 46% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_10+ (74.9%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Fortune Power 0
Samger Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Fortune Position

+11

Position Gap

15

Samger Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.