AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azerbaijan Premier League Apr 20, 2025

Zira

Home
VS
15:00

Sumqayıt

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Zira Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Sumqayıt Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.17 - 0.30
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Sumqayıt Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 18%
Under 2.5 Goals 82%
Zira Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 13 Zira vs Neftchi B… 2-4
Apr 06 Zira vs Qarabağ FK 1-0
Mar 30 Zira vs Şamaxı 3-0
Mar 15 Zira vs Sabah FA 1-1
Feb 24 Zira vs Kəpəz 2-0
Feb 15 Zira vs Sumqayıt 0-3
Feb 10 Zira vs Neftchi B… 1-2
Feb 02 Zira vs Young Ele… 0-1
Feb 02 Zira vs Qarabağ FK 3-2
Jan 24 Zira vs Şamaxı 1-2
Sumqayıt Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 12 Sumqayıt vs Şamaxı 1-2
Mar 29 Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA 3-3
Mar 16 Sumqayıt vs Turan Tov… 1-2
Mar 03 Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ FK 0-2
Feb 27 Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA 0-4
Feb 21 Sumqayıt vs Neftchi B… 1-0
Feb 15 Sumqayıt vs Zira 0-3
Feb 09 Sumqayıt vs Şamaxı 1-0
Feb 05 Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA 0-0
Jan 25 Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zira in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Sumqayıt struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 15, 2025 Sumqayıt 0 - 3 Zira Azerbaijan Pre…
Nov 30, 2024 Zira 4 - 1 Sumqayıt Azerbaijan Pre…
Sep 22, 2024 Sumqayıt 0 - 2 Zira Azerbaijan Pre…
Apr 12, 2024 Sumqayıt 0 - 0 Zira Azerbaijan Pre…
Feb 13, 2024 Zira 0 - 0 Sumqayıt Azerbaijan Pre…
Nov 26, 2023 Sumqayıt 0 - 0 Zira Azerbaijan Pre…
Sep 15, 2023 Zira 1 - 0 Sumqayıt Azerbaijan Pre…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zira Power 0
Sumqayıt Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Zira Position

-1

Position Gap

4

Sumqayıt Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.