AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azerbaijan Premier League Apr 12, 2024

Sumqayıt

Home
VS
15:00

Zira

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Sumqayıt Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Zira Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 54%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 1.73 - 0.78
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.8
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sumqayıt Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Zira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (14%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (11%) 2-1 (9%) 0-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 45%
Over 2.5 Goals 45%
Under 2.5 Goals 55%
Sumqayıt Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 07 Sumqayıt vs Neftchi B… 1-1
Mar 17 Sumqayıt vs Sabah FA 1-2
Feb 25 Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ FK 2-0
Feb 18 Sumqayıt vs Turan Tov… 0-0
Feb 13 Sumqayıt vs Zira 0-0
Feb 09 Sumqayıt vs Neftchi B… 1-1
Feb 04 Sumqayıt vs Neftchi B… 2-1
Jan 31 Sumqayıt vs Neftchi B… 2-3
Jan 23 Sumqayıt vs Qabala 0-1
Dec 18 Sumqayıt vs Karvan 3-1
Zira Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 07 Zira vs Qabala 4-0
Apr 03 Zira vs Qabala 2-1
Mar 30 Zira vs Sabah FA 0-1
Mar 16 Zira vs Kəpəz 2-1
Mar 10 Zira vs Qarabağ FK 3-1
Feb 18 Zira vs Neftchi B… 1-0
Feb 13 Zira vs Sumqayıt 0-0
Feb 04 Zira vs Qabala 1-1
Jan 27 Zira vs Sabah FA 0-1
Dec 24 Zira vs Qarabağ FK 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Zira in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 13, 2024 Zira 0 - 0 Sumqayıt Azerbaijan Pre…
Nov 26, 2023 Sumqayıt 0 - 0 Zira Azerbaijan Pre…
Sep 15, 2023 Zira 1 - 0 Sumqayıt Azerbaijan Pre…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sumqayıt Power 0
Zira Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Sumqayıt Position

+1

Position Gap

5

Zira Position
Home Win Rate: 44%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.