AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azerbaijan Premier League Feb 13, 2024

Zira

Home
VS
13:15

Sumqayıt

Away
AI Predictions 42.8% Confidence
Zira Win
29.0%
Draw
28.2%
Sumqayıt Win
42.8%
Away Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 68%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.04 - 0.44
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.0 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Sumqayıt Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
64%
1 goals:
28%
2 goals:
6%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (24%) 0-0 (23%) 2-0 (12%) 1-1 (10%) 0-1 (10%) 2-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 19%
Under 2.5 Goals 81%
Zira Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Zira vs Qabala 1-1
Jan 27 Zira vs Sabah FA 0-1
Dec 24 Zira vs Qarabağ FK 0-1
Dec 03 Zira vs Neftchi B… 1-0
Nov 26 Zira vs Sumqayıt 0-0
Nov 12 Zira vs Qabala 1-0
Nov 05 Zira vs Sabah FA 0-1
Oct 21 Zira vs Kəpəz 0-0
Sep 23 Zira vs Neftchi B… 1-1
Sep 15 Zira vs Sumqayıt 1-0
Sumqayıt Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 09 Sumqayıt vs Neftchi B… 1-1
Feb 04 Sumqayıt vs Neftchi B… 2-1
Jan 31 Sumqayıt vs Neftchi B… 2-3
Jan 23 Sumqayıt vs Qabala 0-1
Dec 18 Sumqayıt vs Karvan 3-1
Dec 08 Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ FK 1-6
Dec 02 Sumqayıt vs Turan Tov… 2-2
Nov 26 Sumqayıt vs Zira 0-0
Sep 29 Sumqayıt vs Qarabağ FK 5-0
Sep 23 Sumqayıt vs Turan Tov… 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sumqayıt in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Zira struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 26, 2023 Sumqayıt 0 - 0 Zira Azerbaijan Pre…
Sep 15, 2023 Zira 1 - 0 Sumqayıt Azerbaijan Pre…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zira Power 0
Sumqayıt Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Zira Position

-1

Position Gap

4

Sumqayıt Position
Home Win Rate: 40%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.