AI Match Insights

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Azerbaijan Premier League May 24, 2025

Şamaxı

Home
VS
13:00

Qarabağ FK

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Şamaxı Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Qarabağ FK Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 39% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.04 - 0.93
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Şamaxı Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
35%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Qarabağ FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
40%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 0-0 (14%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (13%) 2-0 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 39%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Şamaxı Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
May 17 Şamaxı vs Araz 0-1
Apr 20 Şamaxı vs Kəpəz 2-1
Apr 12 Şamaxı vs Sumqayıt 1-2
Mar 30 Şamaxı vs Zira 3-0
Mar 14 Şamaxı vs Araz 1-1
Feb 17 Şamaxı vs Kəpəz 1-1
Feb 09 Şamaxı vs Sumqayıt 1-0
Jan 24 Şamaxı vs Zira 1-2
Jan 17 Şamaxı vs Qarabağ FK 3-2
Dec 19 Şamaxı vs Qarabağ FK 0-1
Qarabağ FK Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
May 18 Qarabağ FK vs Kəpəz 3-0
May 11 Qarabağ FK vs Araz 2-0
May 04 Qarabağ FK vs Sumqayıt 2-0
Apr 27 Qarabağ FK vs Sabah FA 1-1
Apr 23 Qarabağ FK vs Araz 3-0
Apr 19 Qarabağ FK vs Neftchi B… 3-0
Apr 06 Qarabağ FK vs Zira 1-0
Apr 02 Qarabağ FK vs Araz 1-0
Mar 28 Qarabağ FK vs Turan Tov… 1-4
Mar 15 Qarabağ FK vs Kəpəz 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Qarabağ FK in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 17, 2025 Qarabağ FK 3 - 2 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Dec 19, 2024 Şamaxı 0 - 1 Qarabağ FK Azerbaijan Pre…
Oct 27, 2024 Qarabağ FK 3 - 0 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Apr 02, 2023 Şamaxı 0 - 1 Qarabağ FK Azerbaijan Pre…
Jan 31, 2023 Qarabağ FK 3 - 1 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Oct 30, 2022 Şamaxı 0 - 4 Qarabağ FK Azerbaijan Pre…
Aug 27, 2022 Qarabağ FK 4 - 0 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Apr 15, 2022 Qarabağ FK 8 - 0 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Şamaxı Power 0
Qarabağ FK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Şamaxı Position

-5

Position Gap

2

Qarabağ FK Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 71%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.