AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azerbaijan Premier League Dec 19, 2024

Şamaxı

Home
VS
10:00

Qarabağ FK

Away
AI Predictions 50.8% Confidence
Şamaxı Win
19.0%
Draw
30.2%
Qarabağ FK Win
50.8%
Away Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 34% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 0.30 - 1.48
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Şamaxı Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Qarabağ FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
23%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
12%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (25%) 0-2 (18%) 0-0 (17%) 0-3 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 26%
Under 2.5 Goals 74%
Şamaxı Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 04 Şamaxı vs Zira 3-1
Nov 30 Şamaxı vs Kəpəz 0-1
Nov 24 Şamaxı vs Sumqayıt 2-1
Nov 02 Şamaxı vs Zira 0-2
Oct 27 Şamaxı vs Qarabağ FK 3-0
Oct 19 Şamaxı vs Araz 0-1
Sep 20 Şamaxı vs Kəpəz 0-2
Sep 14 Şamaxı vs Sumqayıt 1-0
Aug 25 Şamaxı vs Zira 0-1
Aug 10 Şamaxı vs Araz 1-0
Qarabağ FK Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 16 Qarabağ FK vs Sumqayıt 5-0
Dec 07 Qarabağ FK vs Sabah FA 1-1
Dec 04 Qarabağ FK vs Qabala 0-2
Dec 01 Qarabağ FK vs Neftchi B… 0-3
Nov 10 Qarabağ FK vs Zira 4-0
Nov 01 Qarabağ FK vs Turan Tov… 0-0
Oct 27 Qarabağ FK vs Şamaxı 3-0
Oct 24 Qarabağ FK vs Ajax 0-3
Oct 18 Qarabağ FK vs Kəpəz 0-5
Oct 06 Qarabağ FK vs Sumqayıt 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Qarabağ FK in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Şamaxı struggling (5L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 27, 2024 Qarabağ FK 3 - 0 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Apr 02, 2023 Şamaxı 0 - 1 Qarabağ FK Azerbaijan Pre…
Jan 31, 2023 Qarabağ FK 3 - 1 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Oct 30, 2022 Şamaxı 0 - 4 Qarabağ FK Azerbaijan Pre…
Aug 27, 2022 Qarabağ FK 4 - 0 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Apr 15, 2022 Qarabağ FK 8 - 0 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Şamaxı Power 0
Qarabağ FK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Şamaxı Position

-5

Position Gap

2

Qarabağ FK Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 71%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.