AI Match Insights

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Azerbaijan Premier League Oct 27, 2024

Qarabağ FK

Home
VS
15:00

Şamaxı

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Qarabağ FK Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Şamaxı Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 70%
Market 50%
Combined: 40% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 0.35 - 1.55
Key Insights
Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Qarabağ FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
71%
1 goals:
25%
2 goals:
4%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Şamaxı Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
21%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (23%) 0-2 (18%) 0-0 (15%) 0-3 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 1-2 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 23%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Qarabağ FK Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 24 Qarabağ FK vs Ajax 0-3
Oct 18 Qarabağ FK vs Kəpəz 0-5
Oct 06 Qarabağ FK vs Sumqayıt 0-1
Sep 29 Qarabağ FK vs Sabah FA 3-2
Sep 20 Qarabağ FK vs Neftchi B… 4-0
Sep 01 Qarabağ FK vs Zira 1-3
Aug 24 Qarabağ FK vs Turan Tov… 0-1
Aug 09 Qarabağ FK vs Kəpəz 3-0
Aug 02 Qarabağ FK vs Araz 1-4
Jun 02 Qarabağ FK vs Zira 2-1
Şamaxı Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 19 Şamaxı vs Araz 0-1
Sep 20 Şamaxı vs Kəpəz 0-2
Sep 14 Şamaxı vs Sumqayıt 1-0
Aug 25 Şamaxı vs Zira 0-1
Aug 10 Şamaxı vs Araz 1-0
May 09 Şamaxı vs Karviná 3-0
Mar 29 Şamaxı vs Mil-Muğan 0-0
Mar 07 Şamaxı vs Karviná 0-6
Dec 14 Şamaxı vs Mil-Muğan 0-0
Nov 24 Şamaxı vs Karviná 2-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Qarabağ FK in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Şamaxı in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 02, 2023 Şamaxı 0 - 1 Qarabağ FK Azerbaijan Pre…
Jan 31, 2023 Qarabağ FK 3 - 1 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Oct 30, 2022 Şamaxı 0 - 4 Qarabağ FK Azerbaijan Pre…
Aug 27, 2022 Qarabağ FK 4 - 0 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Apr 15, 2022 Qarabağ FK 8 - 0 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Qarabağ FK to win (61% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 61% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Qarabağ FK Power 0
Şamaxı Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Qarabağ FK Position

+5

Position Gap

7

Şamaxı Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 30%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.