AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Azerbaijan Premier League Apr 02, 2023

Şamaxı

Home
VS
11:30

Qarabağ FK

Away
AI Predictions 46.0% Confidence
Şamaxı Win
25.0%
Draw
29.0%
Qarabağ FK Win
46.0%
Away Win (46% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-3
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 34% Draw Risk: 32%
xG: 0.72 - 3.02
High draw risk (32%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Şamaxı Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
49%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Qarabağ FK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
15%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3 (11%) 0-2 (11%) 1-3 (8%) 1-2 (8%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Şamaxı Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 25 Şamaxı vs Zira 0-0
Mar 17 Şamaxı vs Qabala 2-0
Mar 03 Şamaxı vs Zira 2-2
Feb 17 Şamaxı vs Kəpəz 3-2
Feb 12 Şamaxı vs Sumqayıt 1-0
Jan 31 Şamaxı vs Qarabağ FK 3-1
Dec 13 Şamaxı vs Zira 0-0
Nov 28 Şamaxı vs Kəpəz 1-1
Nov 11 Şamaxı vs Sumqayıt 4-2
Oct 30 Şamaxı vs Qarabağ FK 0-4
Qarabağ FK Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Qarabağ FK vs Qabala 1-3
Jan 31 Qarabağ FK vs Şamaxı 3-1
Dec 19 Qarabağ FK vs Qabala 1-0
Dec 13 Qarabağ FK vs Qabala 1-0
Oct 30 Qarabağ FK vs Şamaxı 0-4
Aug 27 Qarabağ FK vs Şamaxı 4-0
Apr 15 Qarabağ FK vs Şamaxı 8-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Qarabağ FK in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Şamaxı struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 31, 2023 Qarabağ FK 3 - 1 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Oct 30, 2022 Şamaxı 0 - 4 Qarabağ FK Azerbaijan Pre…
Aug 27, 2022 Qarabağ FK 4 - 0 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Apr 15, 2022 Qarabağ FK 8 - 0 Şamaxı Azerbaijan Pre…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Şamaxı Power 0
Qarabağ FK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Şamaxı Position

-5

Position Gap

2

Qarabağ FK Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 71%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.