AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League May 02, 2025

Zakho

Home
VS
17:30

Al Zawra'a

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Zakho Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Al Zawra'a Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 82%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.41 - 0.26
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.3
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Zakho Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Al Zawra'a Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
77%
1 goals:
20%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (27%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (19%) 3-0 (9%) 1-1 (7%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 17%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Zakho Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 16 Zakho vs Naft Mays… 0-1
Mar 30 Zakho vs Duhok 1-0
Mar 08 Zakho vs Al Karkh 1-1
Mar 03 Zakho vs Al Minaa … 1-0
Jan 30 Zakho vs Al Najaf 1-0
Jan 24 Zakho vs Naft Mays… 1-1
Jan 15 Zakho vs Al Zawra'a 0-1
Jan 03 Zakho vs Al Karkh 2-0
Dec 01 Zakho vs Al-Karma 1-0
Nov 27 Zakho vs Al Minaa … 0-0
Al Zawra'a Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
May 01 Al Zawra'a vs Al Quwa A… 2-2
Apr 17 Al Zawra'a vs Al-Talaba 1-0
Apr 04 Al Zawra'a vs Naft Mays… 2-0
Apr 03 Al Zawra'a vs Duhok 1-2
Mar 12 Al Zawra'a vs Erbil 4-0
Mar 08 Al Zawra'a vs Al Najaf 1-2
Mar 08 Al Zawra'a vs Diyala 1-1
Mar 03 Al Zawra'a vs Al Zawra'a 3-0
Feb 15 Al Zawra'a vs Newroz 1-1
Feb 03 Al Zawra'a vs Al-Qasim … 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Zawra'a struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 10 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 15, 2025 Zakho 0 - 1 Al Zawra'a Iraqi League
Oct 25, 2024 Al Zawra'a 2 - 3 Zakho Iraqi League
May 18, 2024 Al Zawra'a 1 - 1 Zakho Iraqi League
Apr 25, 2024 Al Zawra'a 1 - 3 Zakho Iraqi League
Mar 02, 2024 Zakho 1 - 0 Al Zawra'a Iraqi League
Dec 31, 2023 Zakho 0 - 2 Al Zawra'a Iraqi League
May 05, 2023 Zakho 2 - 0 Al Zawra'a Iraqi League
Apr 03, 2023 Zakho 1 - 1 Al Zawra'a Iraqi League
Dec 05, 2022 Al Zawra'a 1 - 0 Zakho Iraqi League
Oct 19, 2022 Al Zawra'a 2 - 1 Zakho Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Zakho Power 0
Al Zawra'a Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

8

Zakho Position

-2

Position Gap

6

Al Zawra'a Position
Home Win Rate: 50%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.