AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Apr 20, 2023

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Home
VS
18:45

Naft Maysan

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Naft Maysan Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 86%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.26 - 1.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.3 vs 1.2 Position gap: 13 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
6%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
18%
4 goals:
19%
Naft Maysan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 3-0 (5%) 2-1 (5%) 3-2 (4%) 2-0 (4%) 2-2 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 09 Al Quwa A… vs Al Zawra'a 2-3
Mar 30 Al Quwa A… vs Al Najaf 0-2
Mar 18 Al Quwa A… vs Al-Qasim … 3-4
Dec 14 Al Quwa A… vs Naft 0-0
Dec 05 Al Quwa A… vs Al Shorta… 1-0
Nov 29 Al Quwa A… vs Duhok 0-0
Oct 30 Al Quwa A… vs Naft Mays… 0-4
Oct 24 Al Quwa A… vs Al Zawra'a 1-1
Oct 14 Al Quwa A… vs Al-Qasim … 1-2
Oct 10 Al Quwa A… vs Al Najaf 2-0
Naft Maysan Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 04 Naft Mays… vs Erbil 3-1
Mar 13 Naft Mays… vs Naft 1-2
Feb 23 Naft Mays… vs Al Shorta… 3-0
Feb 18 Naft Mays… vs Duhok 3-1
Feb 05 Naft Mays… vs Al Zawra'a 1-3
Jan 31 Naft Mays… vs Al Zawra'a 2-1
Dec 19 Naft Mays… vs Al Najaf 5-2
Dec 10 Naft Mays… vs Zakho 0-0
Oct 30 Naft Mays… vs Al Quwa A… 0-4
Oct 20 Naft Mays… vs Erbil 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Naft Maysan struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 30, 2022 Naft Maysan 0 - 4 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraqi League
Feb 20, 2022 Naft Maysan 1 - 2 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraqi League
Sep 30, 2021 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2 - 0 Naft Maysan Iraqi League
May 16, 2021 Naft Maysan 0 - 4 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraqi League
Jan 01, 2021 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 - 1 Naft Maysan Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Power 0
Naft Maysan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Position

+13

Position Gap

17

Naft Maysan Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.