AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Sep 30, 2021

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Home
VS
17:30

Naft Maysan

Away
AI Predictions 61.0% Confidence
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win
61.0%
Draw
21.8%
Naft Maysan Win
17.2%
Home Win (61% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 86%
Market 50%
Combined: 67% Draw Risk: 10%
xG: 3.65 - 1.07
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.6 vs 1.1 Position gap: 13 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
10%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Naft Maysan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 2-0 (6%) 3-2 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 64%
Over 2.5 Goals 69%
Under 2.5 Goals 31%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 21 Al Quwa A… vs Al-Qasim … 1-0
Jul 05 Al Quwa A… vs Naft 1-4
Jul 01 Al Quwa A… vs Al Shorta… 2-0
May 16 Al Quwa A… vs Naft Mays… 0-4
May 12 Al Quwa A… vs Al Najaf 3-4
Apr 02 Al Quwa A… vs Al-Qasim … 1-2
Mar 15 Al Quwa A… vs Baghdad 0-1
Feb 23 Al Quwa A… vs Al Zawra'a 0-1
Jan 31 Al Quwa A… vs Naft 4-1
Jan 22 Al Quwa A… vs Al Shorta… 0-0
Naft Maysan Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 20 Naft Mays… vs Naft 0-0
Jul 19 Naft Mays… vs Zakho 1-2
Jul 09 Naft Mays… vs Al Zawra'a 0-1
Jun 25 Naft Mays… vs Al Zawra'a 2-4
May 30 Naft Mays… vs Naft 1-2
May 16 Naft Mays… vs Al Quwa A… 0-4
May 05 Naft Mays… vs Al Shorta… 3-1
Apr 08 Naft Mays… vs Erbil 2-3
Mar 16 Naft Mays… vs Al Najaf 1-2
Feb 13 Naft Mays… vs Zakho 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al Quwa Al Jawiya in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Naft Maysan struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 16, 2021 Naft Maysan 0 - 4 Al Quwa Al Jawiya Iraqi League
Jan 01, 2021 Al Quwa Al Jawiya 3 - 1 Naft Maysan Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Power 0
Naft Maysan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Position

+13

Position Gap

17

Naft Maysan Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.