AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Jan 01, 2021

Al Quwa Al Jawiya

Home
VS
13:00

Naft Maysan

Away
AI Predictions 37.5% Confidence
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Win
37.5%
Draw
26.5%
Naft Maysan Win
36.0%
Home Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 53%
Standings 86%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.50 - 0.78
Key Insights
Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
61%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
8%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Naft Maysan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (28%) 0-1 (22%) 1-0 (14%) 1-1 (11%) 0-2 (8%) 1-2 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 14%
Under 2.5 Goals 86%
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 27 Al Quwa A… vs Al Najaf 0-0
Dec 08 Al Quwa A… vs Al-Qasim … 1-1
Nov 28 Al Quwa A… vs Baghdad 0-1
Oct 25 Al Quwa A… vs Al Zawra'a 1-0
Naft Maysan Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 23 Naft Mays… vs Naft 2-3
Dec 18 Naft Mays… vs Al Shorta… 1-1
Dec 13 Naft Mays… vs Erbil 0-1
Nov 28 Naft Mays… vs Al Najaf 0-0
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al Quwa Al Jawiya to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al Quwa Al Jawiya Power 0
Naft Maysan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Al Quwa Al Jawiya Position

+13

Position Gap

17

Naft Maysan Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.