AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Apr 12, 2025

Al-Karma

Home
VS
14:00

Al-Talaba

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Al-Karma Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Al-Talaba Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 70%
Standings 60%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 53%
xG: 0.87 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 0.9 vs 0.2
High draw risk (53%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Karma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
42%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Al-Talaba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0 (34%) 1-0 (30%) 2-0 (13%) 0-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 11%
Over 2.5 Goals 9%
Under 2.5 Goals 91%
Al-Karma Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 04 Al-Karma vs Newroz 2-0
Feb 15 Al-Karma vs Al Quwa A… 2-1
Feb 08 Al-Karma vs Al Minaa … 0-2
Jan 23 Al-Karma vs Al Karkh 0-1
Dec 12 Al-Karma vs Al Quwa A… 1-0
Dec 01 Al-Karma vs Zakho 1-0
Nov 06 Al-Karma vs Newroz 1-3
Nov 01 Al-Karma vs Al-Qasim … 1-0
Oct 24 Al-Karma vs Al-Talaba 2-0
Al-Talaba Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 14 Al-Talaba vs Newroz 3-1
Mar 04 Al-Talaba vs Al Shorta… 0-2
Feb 14 Al-Talaba vs Diyala 0-0
Jan 15 Al-Talaba vs Erbil 2-1
Dec 12 Al-Talaba vs Diyala 0-1
Nov 02 Al-Talaba vs Al Minaa … 1-0
Oct 29 Al-Talaba vs Newroz 1-0
Oct 24 Al-Talaba vs Al-Karma 2-0
Oct 05 Al-Talaba vs Al Shorta… 1-0
Jul 05 Al-Talaba vs Al Minaa … 0-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Karma in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 24, 2024 Al-Talaba 2 - 0 Al-Karma Iraqi League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Karma to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Karma Power 0
Al-Talaba Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Al-Karma Position

+2

Position Gap

5

Al-Talaba Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 43%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.