AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Iraqi League Oct 24, 2024

Al-Talaba

Home
VS
16:45

Al-Karma

Away
AI Predictions 55.0% Confidence
Al-Talaba Win
55.0%
Draw
23.0%
Al-Karma Win
22.0%
Home Win (55% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 78%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 46% Draw Risk: 42%
xG: 1.84 - 0.98
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 1.0
High draw risk (42%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Talaba Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Al-Karma Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
38%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (11%) 1-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 3-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 52%
Under 2.5 Goals 48%
Al-Talaba Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 05 Al-Talaba vs Al Shorta… 1-0
Jul 05 Al-Talaba vs Al Minaa … 0-0
Jun 26 Al-Talaba vs Al Zawra'a 0-3
Jun 23 Al-Talaba vs Al Shorta… 3-2
Jun 14 Al-Talaba vs Erbil 0-0
Feb 19 Al-Talaba vs Al Shorta… 2-1
Dec 09 Al-Talaba vs Al Minaa … 0-1
Dec 01 Al-Talaba vs Erbil 1-0
Nov 24 Al-Talaba vs Al Zawra'a 2-0
May 24 Al-Talaba vs Erbil 3-1
Al-Karma Form 50%

No recent form data available

Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Talaba Power 0
Al-Karma Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

5

Al-Talaba Position

-2

Position Gap

3

Al-Karma Position
Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 57%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.