AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Primera Division Feb 12, 2026

UNAN Managua

Home
VS
23:00

Real Madriz

Away
AI Predictions 53.0% Confidence
UNAN Managua Win
53.0%
Draw
23.4%
Real Madriz Win
23.6%
Home Win (53% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 80%
Standings 52%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.21 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.2
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
UNAN Managua Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Real Madriz Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (30%) 0-0 (24%) 2-0 (18%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 0-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 13%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Under 2.5 Goals 83%
UNAN Managua Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 UNAN Mana… vs Matagalpa 0-0
Jan 31 UNAN Mana… vs Diriangén 3-1
Jan 26 UNAN Mana… vs H&H Export 1-0
Jan 19 UNAN Mana… vs Walter Fe… 0-0
Nov 23 UNAN Mana… vs H&H Export 3-1
Nov 05 UNAN Mana… vs Managua FC 0-3
Nov 01 UNAN Mana… vs Rancho Sa… 2-1
Oct 26 UNAN Mana… vs Real Madr… 2-1
Oct 23 UNAN Mana… vs Jalapa 5-0
Oct 20 UNAN Mana… vs Diriangén 2-1
Real Madriz Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 04 Real Madr… vs Managua FC 2-0
Jan 31 Real Madr… vs Matagalpa 1-1
Jan 25 Real Madr… vs Walter Fe… 1-0
Jan 17 Real Madr… vs Real Este… 0-3
Nov 17 Real Madr… vs Rancho Sa… 1-0
Nov 06 Real Madr… vs Diriangén 1-2
Nov 01 Real Madr… vs Jalapa 1-2
Oct 26 Real Madr… vs UNAN Mana… 2-1
Oct 21 Real Madr… vs H&H Export 0-0
Oct 16 Real Madr… vs Managua FC 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Real Madriz struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 26, 2025 UNAN Managua 2 - 1 Real Madriz Primera Divisi…
Aug 16, 2025 Real Madriz 0 - 3 UNAN Managua Primera Divisi…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (18% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 18% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
UNAN Managua Power 0
Real Madriz Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

UNAN Managua Position

+1

Position Gap

10

Real Madriz Position
Home Win Rate: 0%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.