AI Match Insights
Primera Division Feb 07, 2026
Diriangén
HomeVS
21:00
Matagalpa
AwayAI Predictions 65.0% Confidence
Diriangén Win
Draw
Matagalpa Win
Home Win
(65% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%)
M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%)
HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%)
M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
71%
Market
50%
Combined: 64%
Draw Risk: 13%
xG: 3.78 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.4
Score Prediction Analysis
Diriangén Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Matagalpa Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%)
2-0 (11%)
1-0 (6%)
3-1 (5%)
2-1 (4%)
1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
30%
Over 2.5 Goals
60%
Under 2.5 Goals
40%
Diriangén Form 20.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 03 | Diriangén vs Walter Fe… | 3-1 |
| Jan 31 | Diriangén vs UNAN Mana… | 3-1 |
| Jan 24 | Diriangén vs Jalapa | 2-1 |
| Jan 22 | Diriangén vs Rancho Sa… | 0-4 |
| Dec 21 | Diriangén vs Managua FC | 1-0 |
| Dec 14 | Diriangén vs Managua FC | 0-0 |
| Dec 07 | Diriangén vs H&H Export | 5-0 |
| Nov 30 | Diriangén vs H&H Export | 0-1 |
| Nov 23 | Diriangén vs Managua FC | 1-1 |
| Nov 06 | Diriangén vs Real Madr… | 1-2 |
Matagalpa Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 04 | Matagalpa vs UNAN Mana… | 0-0 |
| Jan 31 | Matagalpa vs Real Madr… | 1-1 |
| Jan 24 | Matagalpa vs Rancho Sa… | 0-2 |
| Jan 19 | Matagalpa vs H&H Export | 0-1 |
| Nov 27 | Matagalpa vs H&H Export | 2-0 |
| Nov 23 | Matagalpa vs Real Este… | 1-0 |
| Nov 06 | Matagalpa vs Walter Fe… | 1-2 |
| Nov 02 | Matagalpa vs Managua FC | 3-0 |
| Oct 26 | Matagalpa vs Jalapa | 3-0 |
| Oct 23 | Matagalpa vs Diriangén | 2-2 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Diriangén in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 2025 | Diriangén | 2 - 2 | Matagalpa | Primera Divisi… |
| Aug 09, 2025 | Matagalpa | 0 - 2 | Diriangén | Primera Divisi… |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Diriangén to win (41% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Diriangén Power
0
Matagalpa Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
1
Diriangén Position+4
Position Gap5
Matagalpa Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.