AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Birinci Dəstə Feb 12, 2026

Baku Sportinq

Home
VS
10:30

MOIK

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Baku Sportinq Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
MOIK Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 63%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 3.06 - 0.55
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.6
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Baku Sportinq Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
17%
MOIK Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
58%
1 goals:
32%
2 goals:
9%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (13%) 2-0 (13%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (7%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 40%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Baku Sportinq Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 Baku Spor… vs Safa Baku 1-1
Dec 24 Baku Spor… vs Zaqatala 2-1
Dec 17 Baku Spor… vs Şimal 0-1
Dec 10 Baku Spor… vs Şahdağ 2-1
Dec 03 Baku Spor… vs Şamaxı 1-0
Nov 26 Baku Spor… vs Energetik 1-2
Nov 21 Baku Spor… vs Səbail FK 0-0
Nov 05 Baku Spor… vs Cəbrayıl 2-0
Oct 28 Baku Spor… vs Goy-Gol 0-2
Oct 22 Baku Spor… vs MOIK 0-0
MOIK Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 05 MOIK vs Cəbrayıl 2-2
Dec 25 MOIK vs Safa Baku 0-2
Dec 17 MOIK vs Zaqatala 1-3
Dec 10 MOIK vs Åžimal 2-0
Nov 27 MOIK vs Difai AÄŸsu 1-2
Nov 20 MOIK vs Energetik 0-3
Nov 05 MOIK vs Səbail FK 1-0
Oct 29 MOIK vs Neftchi B… 6-2
Oct 22 MOIK vs Baku Spor… 0-0
Oct 16 MOIK vs Cəbrayıl 4-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Baku Sportinq in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • MOIK in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 22, 2025 MOIK 0 - 0 Baku Sportinq Birinci Dəstə
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Baku Sportinq to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Baku Sportinq Power 0
MOIK Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

2

Baku Sportinq Position

+4

Position Gap

6

MOIK Position
Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.