AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Rondoniense Mar 17, 2024

Paranoá

Home
VS
19:30

União Cacoalense

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Paranoá Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
União Cacoalense Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 45% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.38 - 0.60
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.4 vs 0.6
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Paranoá Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
25%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
União Cacoalense Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
55%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
10%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (19%) 0-0 (14%) 2-0 (13%) 1-1 (11%) 0-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 34%
Over 2.5 Goals 31%
Under 2.5 Goals 69%
Paranoá Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 24 Paranoá vs Gama 2-0
Jan 14 Paranoá vs Capital B… 0-0
May 20 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 0-0
May 14 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 0-1
Apr 22 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 1-0
Apr 16 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 2-1
Mar 26 Paranoá vs Rondonien… 1-1
Mar 18 Paranoá vs Porto Vel… 1-0
Mar 12 Paranoá vs União Cac… 3-0
Mar 05 Paranoá vs Jaguaré 0-0
União Cacoalense Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 09 União Cac… vs Barcelona… 1-1
Mar 02 União Cac… vs Tocantinó… 0-0
Feb 10 União Cac… vs Gurupi 0-1
Apr 08 União Cac… vs Genus 2-1
Mar 12 União Cac… vs Paranoá 3-0
Mar 04 União Cac… vs Gurupi 0-0
Feb 25 União Cac… vs Tocantinó… 0-0
Feb 25 União Cac… vs Rondonien… 0-2
Mar 26 União Cac… vs Tocantinó… 1-2
Mar 20 União Cac… vs Tocantinó… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Paranoá struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 12, 2023 Paranoá 3 - 0 União Cacoalense Rondoniense
May 12, 2021 União Cacoalense 3 - 1 Paranoá Rondoniense
May 02, 2021 Paranoá 1 - 2 União Cacoalense Rondoniense
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Paranoá to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Paranoá Power 0
União Cacoalense Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.