AI Match Insights
Liga Alef Apr 01, 2025
Tira
HomeVS
10:00
Ironi Nesher
AwayAI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Tira Win
Draw
Ironi Nesher Win
Home Win
(47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
M85+S60 (75.3%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
94%
Standings
78%
Market
50%
Combined: 56%
Draw Risk: 27%
xG: 3.82 - 0.53
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.8 vs 0.5
Position gap: 9 places
High draw risk (27%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Tira Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Ironi Nesher Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (12%)
2-0 (9%)
3-1 (6%)
2-1 (5%)
1-0 (5%)
1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
40%
Over 2.5 Goals
62%
Under 2.5 Goals
38%
Tira Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 18 | Tira vs Hapoel Mi… | 3-0 |
| Feb 07 | Tira vs Ironi Bak… | 4-1 |
| Jan 03 | Tira vs Maccabi K… | 1-0 |
| Dec 30 | Tira vs Ironi Nes… | 1-0 |
| Dec 24 | Tira vs Maccabi A… | 3-0 |
| Dec 13 | Tira vs Maccabi N… | 0-4 |
| Sep 20 | Tira vs Hapoel Mi… | 4-2 |
| Sep 13 | Tira vs Ironi Bak… | 4-1 |
| May 20 | Tira vs Maccabi K… | 4-2 |
| May 15 | Tira vs Ironi Bak… | 1-1 |
Ironi Nesher Form 8.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 30 | Ironi Nes… vs Hapoel Be… | 1-1 |
| Jan 16 | Ironi Nes… vs Maccabi K… | 1-1 |
| Jan 10 | Ironi Nes… vs Hapoel Bn… | 1-0 |
| Jan 03 | Ironi Nes… vs Maccabi A… | 2-1 |
| Dec 30 | Ironi Nes… vs Tira | 1-0 |
| Dec 24 | Ironi Nes… vs Maccabi N… | 0-3 |
| Nov 28 | Ironi Nes… vs Tzeirei U… | 1-0 |
| Sep 06 | Ironi Nes… vs Hapoel Be… | 3-0 |
| May 03 | Ironi Nes… vs Maccabi N… | 3-1 |
| Apr 26 | Ironi Nes… vs Maccabi A… | 3-1 |
Key Analysis Factors
- Tira struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 30, 2024 | Ironi Nesher | 1 - 0 | Tira | Liga Alef |
| Apr 04, 2024 | Tira | 3 - 0 | Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Jan 15, 2024 | Ironi Nesher | 0 - 0 | Tira | Liga Alef |
| Jan 27, 2023 | Ironi Nesher | 2 - 2 | Tira | Liga Alef |
| Sep 23, 2022 | Tira | 3 - 1 | Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Mar 29, 2022 | Ironi Nesher | 2 - 1 | Tira | Liga Alef |
| Dec 10, 2021 | Tira | 1 - 0 | Ironi Nesher | Liga Alef |
| Sep 03, 2021 | Ironi Nesher | 1 - 1 | Tira | State Cup |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: Tira to win (63% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
Tira Power
0
Ironi Nesher Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
Tira Position+9
Position Gap11
Ironi Nesher Position
Home Win Rate: 78%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.