AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Alef Jan 21, 2025

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek

Home
VS
12:30

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm

Away
AI Predictions 57.0% Confidence
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Win
57.0%
Draw
22.6%
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Win
20.4%
Home Win (57% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 48%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 29%
xG: 2.46 - 1.01
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.5 vs 1.0
High draw risk (29%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
9%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
13%
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
36%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 1-0 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 58%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 17 Hapoel Mi… vs Hapoel Bn… 3-1
Jan 03 Hapoel Mi… vs Ironi Bak… 2-2
Dec 20 Hapoel Mi… vs Hapoel Be… 1-3
Dec 06 Hapoel Mi… vs Maccabi K… 3-0
Sep 20 Hapoel Mi… vs Tira 4-2
Sep 17 Hapoel Mi… vs Maccabi N… 4-0
May 03 Hapoel Mi… vs Tzeirei U… 1-1
Apr 26 Hapoel Mi… vs Maccabi N… 3-3
Mar 15 Hapoel Mi… vs Ironi Bak… 0-2
Mar 12 Hapoel Mi… vs Maccabi K… 1-0
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 28 Tzeirei U… vs Ironi Nes… 1-0
May 03 Tzeirei U… vs Hapoel Mi… 1-1
Mar 21 Tzeirei U… vs Ironi Nes… 0-2
Mar 12 Tzeirei U… vs Maccabi A… 0-2
Feb 26 Tzeirei U… vs Maccabi K… 2-1
Feb 22 Tzeirei U… vs Tira 2-2
Feb 10 Tzeirei U… vs Hapoel Mi… 2-2
Dec 29 Tzeirei U… vs Ironi Nes… 0-3
Dec 19 Tzeirei U… vs Maccabi A… 2-1
Sep 13 Tzeirei U… vs Tira 2-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Hapoel Migdal HaEmek in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
May 03, 2024 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek 1 - 1 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Liga Alef
Feb 10, 2024 Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm 2 - 2 Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Liga Alef
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Power 0
Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Hapoel Migdal HaEmek Position

-1

Position Gap

8

Tzeirei Umm al-Fahm Position
Home Win Rate: 22%
Away Win Rate: 11%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.