AI Match Insights

Stars League Apr 17, 2024

Qatar SC

Home
VS
17:30

Al-Rayyan

Away
AI Predictions 44.4% Confidence
Qatar SC Win
27.0%
Draw
28.6%
Al-Rayyan Win
44.4%
Away Win (44% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 87%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 40%
xG: 2.91 - 1.41
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 1.4
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Qatar SC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
5%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Al-Rayyan Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
24%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
11%
4 goals:
4%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-0 (5%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 71%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Qatar SC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 17 Qatar SC vs Al-Markhi… 1-2
Mar 12 Qatar SC vs Al Ahli D… 1-3
Mar 06 Qatar SC vs Al-Arabi … 3-4
Mar 01 Qatar SC vs Al-Sadd SC 3-0
Feb 24 Qatar SC vs UMM Salal 1-1
Jan 02 Qatar SC vs Al-Arabi … 2-2
Dec 28 Qatar SC vs Al-Rayyan 1-2
Dec 20 Qatar SC vs Al-Dhafra 2-1
Dec 09 Qatar SC vs Al-Duhail 1-1
Oct 29 Qatar SC vs Al-Markhi… 4-0
Al-Rayyan Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 07 Al-Rayyan vs Muaither … 1-0
Mar 31 Al-Rayyan vs Al-Duhail 2-0
Mar 12 Al-Rayyan vs UMM Salal 2-2
Mar 04 Al-Rayyan vs Al Shamal… 1-2
Mar 01 Al-Rayyan vs Al-Arabi … 2-3
Feb 25 Al-Rayyan vs Al Shamal… 2-1
Dec 28 Al-Rayyan vs Qatar SC 1-2
Dec 09 Al-Rayyan vs Al-Sadd SC 4-0
Nov 25 Al-Rayyan vs Muaither … 0-0
Nov 19 Al-Rayyan vs Al-Duhail 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Rayyan in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
  • Qatar SC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 28, 2023 Al-Rayyan 1 - 2 Qatar SC QSL Cup
Aug 25, 2023 Al-Rayyan 1 - 0 Qatar SC Stars League
Apr 23, 2023 Al-Rayyan 0 - 1 Qatar SC Stars League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Qatar SC Power 0
Al-Rayyan Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Qatar SC Position

-3

Position Gap

4

Al-Rayyan Position

Home Win Rate: 57%
Away Win Rate: 56%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.