AI Match Insights

Professional Development League Oct 24, 2023

AFC Bournemouth U21

Home
VS
12:00

Bristol City U21

Away
AI Predictions 65.5% Confidence
AFC Bournemouth U21 Win
65.5%
Draw
20.9%
Bristol City U21 Win
13.6%
Home Win (66% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
M85+S60 (75.3%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 88%
Standings 72%
Market 50%
Combined: 53% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 1.87 - 0.27
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.9 vs 0.3 Position gap: 6 places
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
AFC Bournemouth U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
15%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
8%
Bristol City U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
76%
1 goals:
21%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (22%) 2-0 (21%) 3-0 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 1-1 (6%) 2-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 20%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
AFC Bournemouth U21 Form 15.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 29 AFC Bourn… vs Colcheste… 0-1
Sep 26 AFC Bourn… vs Charlton … 1-0
Sep 19 AFC Bourn… vs Charlton … 0-4
Sep 09 AFC Bourn… vs Hull City… 4-0
Bristol City U21 Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 22 Bristol C… vs Sheffield… 0-4
May 15 Bristol C… vs Sheffield… 4-0
May 05 Bristol C… vs Swansea C… 3-1
Apr 04 Bristol C… vs Sheffield… 0-0
Feb 21 Bristol C… vs Colcheste… 1-2
Jan 10 Bristol C… vs Cardiff C… 1-0
Dec 19 Bristol C… vs Sheffield… 4-1
Nov 21 Bristol C… vs Sheffield… 2-1
Oct 11 Bristol C… vs Colcheste… 0-1
Sep 27 Bristol C… vs Swansea C… 2-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • AFC Bournemouth U21 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Bristol City U21 struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

PRO: AFC Bournemouth U21 to win (71% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 2-1 71% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
AFC Bournemouth U21 Power 40
Bristol City U21 Power 31
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

AFC Bournemouth U21 Position

+6

Position Gap

9

Bristol City U21 Position

Home Win Rate: 67%
Away Win Rate: 13%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.