AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League Apr 27, 2025

Mathare United

Home
VS
10:00

Tusker

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Mathare United Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Tusker Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-1
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 45%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 37% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 0.63 - 1.09
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mathare United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
53%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
2%
4 goals:
0%
Tusker Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
34%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
7%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1 (20%) 0-0 (18%) 1-1 (12%) 1-0 (11%) 0-2 (11%) 1-2 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 31%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Under 2.5 Goals 75%
Mathare United Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 20 Mathare U… vs Bidco Uni… 2-0
Apr 05 Mathare U… vs Posta Ran… 3-2
Mar 28 Mathare U… vs Mara Sugar 2-1
Mar 02 Mathare U… vs Murang'a … 1-1
Feb 26 Mathare U… vs KCB 1-1
Jan 18 Mathare U… vs Mara Sugar 3-0
Dec 15 Mathare U… vs Bandari 2-2
Dec 10 Mathare U… vs Murang'a … 0-2
Dec 07 Mathare U… vs Tusker 2-0
Dec 01 Mathare U… vs Ulinzi St… 0-0
Tusker Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 06 Tusker vs Mara Sugar 1-1
Mar 29 Tusker vs Bidco Uni… 0-1
Mar 14 Tusker vs Posta Ran… 2-1
Mar 08 Tusker vs Nairobi U… 1-1
Mar 02 Tusker vs Bandari 0-0
Feb 16 Tusker vs Gor Mahia 0-0
Feb 08 Tusker vs Police 0-0
Feb 02 Tusker vs KCB 0-0
Jan 25 Tusker vs Ulinzi St… 0-1
Jan 19 Tusker vs Gor Mahia 2-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 07, 2024 Tusker 2 - 0 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Apr 12, 2023 Mathare United 0 - 2 Tusker FKF Premier Le…
Feb 18, 2023 Tusker 2 - 1 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Dec 30, 2021 Tusker 4 - 1 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Jul 20, 2021 Mathare United 0 - 0 Tusker FKF Premier Le…
Jan 31, 2021 Tusker 1 - 0 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mathare United Power 0
Tusker Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Mathare United Position

-4

Position Gap

8

Tusker Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.