AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
FKF Premier League May 28, 2022

Mathare United

Home
VS
12:00

Tusker

Away
AI Predictions 47.6% Confidence
Mathare United Win
23.0%
Draw
29.4%
Tusker Win
47.6%
Away Win (48% confidence)
Predicted Score: 0-2
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 35%
Standings 42%
Market 50%
Combined: 35% Draw Risk: 38%
xG: 0.30 - 2.60
High draw risk (38%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Mathare United Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
74%
1 goals:
22%
2 goals:
3%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Tusker Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2 (19%) 0-3 (16%) 0-1 (14%) 1-2 (6%) 0-0 (6%) 1-3 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 24%
Over 2.5 Goals 50%
Under 2.5 Goals 50%
Mathare United Form 0.0%
Date Match Result
May 06 Mathare U… vs Sofapaka 0-2
Apr 30 Mathare U… vs Ulinzi St… 2-0
Apr 27 Mathare U… vs Vihiga Un… 1-2
Apr 03 Mathare U… vs Posta Ran… 2-1
Mar 17 Mathare U… vs Posta Ran… 2-3
Mar 13 Mathare U… vs Bidco Uni… 2-0
Mar 12 Mathare U… vs Kisumu Al… 0-0
Mar 06 Mathare U… vs Mombasa E… 0-1
Feb 12 Mathare U… vs Homeboyz 1-3
Jan 08 Mathare U… vs Vihiga Un… 1-1
Tusker Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 24 Tusker vs AFC Leopa… 2-1
Apr 16 Tusker vs Gor Mahia 0-2
Apr 09 Tusker vs Gor Mahia 0-0
Apr 02 Tusker vs KCB 1-1
Feb 25 Tusker vs Sofapaka 0-2
Feb 16 Tusker vs Ulinzi St… 0-0
Feb 12 Tusker vs Ulinzi St… 2-0
Feb 06 Tusker vs Bandari 0-2
Feb 02 Tusker vs Bandari 1-0
Jan 09 Tusker vs Posta Ran… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Tusker in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Mathare United struggling (5L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 30, 2021 Tusker 4 - 1 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Jul 20, 2021 Mathare United 0 - 0 Tusker FKF Premier Le…
Jan 31, 2021 Tusker 1 - 0 Mathare United FKF Premier Le…
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Mathare United Power 0
Tusker Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

12

Mathare United Position

-4

Position Gap

8

Tusker Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 67%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.