AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Jan 28, 2024

Macarthur FC

Home
VS
06:00

Perth Glory

Away
AI Predictions 43.0% Confidence
Macarthur FC Win
43.0%
Draw
25.4%
Perth Glory Win
31.6%
Home Win (43% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 86%
Standings 54%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.23 - 1.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.2 vs 1.8 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
13%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Perth Glory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 1-1 (4%) 3-0 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 80%
Over 2.5 Goals 76%
Under 2.5 Goals 24%
Macarthur FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 18 Macarthur… vs Brisbane … 1-3
Jan 08 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 1-1
Jan 05 Macarthur… vs Newcastle… 1-1
Jan 01 Macarthur… vs Western S… 3-1
Dec 23 Macarthur… vs Perth Glo… 3-2
Dec 18 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 0-3
Dec 09 Macarthur… vs Sydney 0-2
Dec 04 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 4-3
Nov 24 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Nov 12 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 3-3
Perth Glory Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Jan 20 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-2
Jan 06 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 2-3
Dec 31 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 4-2
Dec 23 Perth Glo… vs Macarthur… 3-2
Dec 08 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 1-2
Dec 02 Perth Glo… vs Sydney 3-2
Nov 26 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 2-1
Nov 11 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 2-0
Nov 04 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 2-0
Jul 18 Perth Glo… vs Macarthur… 0-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Perth Glory struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 6 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 23, 2023 Perth Glory 3 - 2 Macarthur FC A-League
Jul 18, 2023 Perth Glory 0 - 4 Macarthur FC Australia Cup
Apr 01, 2023 Perth Glory 2 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Dec 18, 2022 Macarthur FC 1 - 0 Perth Glory A-League
Apr 03, 2022 Macarthur FC 4 - 2 Perth Glory A-League
Feb 23, 2022 Perth Glory 0 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Macarthur FC to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Macarthur FC Power 0
Perth Glory Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Macarthur FC Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Perth Glory Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.