AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Australia Cup Jul 18, 2023

Perth Glory

Home
VS
09:30

Macarthur FC

Away
AI Predictions 59.0% Confidence
Perth Glory Win
59.0%
Draw
22.2%
Macarthur FC Win
18.8%
Home Win (59% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 28%
xG: 3.50 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 0.7
High draw risk (28%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Perth Glory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%) 1-0 (5%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 51%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Perth Glory Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 23 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 4-4
Apr 16 Perth Glo… vs Sydney 4-1
Apr 09 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 0-0
Apr 01 Perth Glo… vs Macarthur… 2-1
Mar 10 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-0
Feb 26 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 2-1
Feb 18 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 2-2
Feb 11 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 2-4
Jan 21 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 3-1
Jan 14 Perth Glo… vs Sydney 2-2
Macarthur FC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Apr 29 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 0-1
Apr 23 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 2-1
Apr 14 Macarthur… vs Newcastle… 2-1
Apr 08 Macarthur… vs Western S… 2-2
Apr 01 Macarthur… vs Perth Glo… 2-1
Mar 19 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Mar 11 Macarthur… vs Central C… 4-1
Mar 05 Macarthur… vs Brisbane … 3-2
Feb 25 Macarthur… vs Western S… 4-0
Feb 18 Macarthur… vs Newcastle… 0-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Macarthur FC struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 01, 2023 Perth Glory 2 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Dec 18, 2022 Macarthur FC 1 - 0 Perth Glory A-League
Apr 03, 2022 Macarthur FC 4 - 2 Perth Glory A-League
Feb 23, 2022 Perth Glory 0 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Perth Glory to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Perth Glory Power 0
Macarthur FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.