AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Apr 01, 2023

Perth Glory

Home
VS
11:00

Macarthur FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Perth Glory Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Macarthur FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 58% Draw Risk: 21%
xG: 4.50 - 0.46
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.5
Score Prediction Analysis
Perth Glory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
63%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (5%) 2-1 (3%) 1-0 (3%) 1-1 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 57%
Under 2.5 Goals 43%
Perth Glory Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 10 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-0
Feb 26 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 2-1
Feb 18 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 2-2
Feb 11 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 2-4
Jan 21 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 3-1
Jan 14 Perth Glo… vs Sydney 2-2
Jan 10 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 2-1
Jan 06 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-0
Jan 02 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 2-0
Dec 18 Perth Glo… vs Macarthur… 1-0
Macarthur FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Mar 11 Macarthur… vs Central C… 4-1
Mar 05 Macarthur… vs Brisbane … 3-2
Feb 25 Macarthur… vs Western S… 4-0
Feb 18 Macarthur… vs Newcastle… 0-1
Feb 12 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 2-1
Feb 04 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 6-1
Jan 20 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Jan 13 Macarthur… vs Central C… 1-2
Jan 08 Macarthur… vs Newcastle… 2-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Macarthur FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Dec 18, 2022 Macarthur FC 1 - 0 Perth Glory A-League
Apr 03, 2022 Macarthur FC 4 - 2 Perth Glory A-League
Feb 23, 2022 Perth Glory 0 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Perth Glory Power 0
Macarthur FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Perth Glory Position

-5

Position Gap

4

Macarthur FC Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.