AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Dec 18, 2022

Macarthur FC

Home
VS
06:00

Perth Glory

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Macarthur FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Perth Glory Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 54%
Market 50%
Combined: 61% Draw Risk: 24%
xG: 3.14 - 0.80
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.1 vs 0.8 Position gap: 5 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
14%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Perth Glory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
45%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (10%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (8%) 2-1 (8%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Macarthur FC Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 11 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Nov 13 Macarthur… vs Central C… 2-3
Nov 06 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 4-1
Oct 29 Macarthur… vs Sydney 2-3
Oct 16 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 2-0
Oct 08 Macarthur… vs Brisbane … 0-0
Aug 31 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 2-0
Apr 22 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 1-4
Apr 15 Macarthur… vs Brisbane … 2-1
Apr 08 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 1-0
Perth Glory Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Nov 05 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 4-0
Oct 30 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 2-1
Oct 23 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 1-2
Oct 09 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-0
May 04 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 2-0
Apr 30 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-1
Apr 24 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 2-0
Apr 06 Perth Glo… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Apr 03 Perth Glo… vs Macarthur… 4-2
Mar 19 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 1-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Macarthur FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
  • Perth Glory struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 03, 2022 Macarthur FC 4 - 2 Perth Glory A-League
Feb 23, 2022 Perth Glory 0 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Macarthur FC to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Macarthur FC Power 0
Perth Glory Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Macarthur FC Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Perth Glory Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.