AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Apr 03, 2022

Macarthur FC

Home
VS
08:20

Perth Glory

Away
AI Predictions 45.0% Confidence
Macarthur FC Win
45.0%
Draw
25.0%
Perth Glory Win
30.0%
Home Win (45% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 84%
Standings 54%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 46%
xG: 1.80 - 0.48
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.8 vs 0.5 Position gap: 5 places
High draw risk (46%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
17%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
7%
Perth Glory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
62%
1 goals:
30%
2 goals:
7%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (18%) 2-0 (17%) 0-0 (10%) 3-0 (10%) 1-1 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 39%
Under 2.5 Goals 61%
Macarthur FC Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 30 Macarthur… vs Sydney 2-2
Mar 26 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 0-1
Mar 19 Macarthur… vs Central C… 4-2
Mar 09 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 3-1
Mar 04 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 3-1
Feb 23 Macarthur… vs Perth Glo… 0-1
Feb 19 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 4-1
Feb 13 Macarthur… vs Brisbane … 3-1
Feb 10 Macarthur… vs Central C… 3-3
Feb 06 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 3-1
Perth Glory Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 19 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 1-4
Mar 15 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 0-0
Mar 12 Perth Glo… vs Sydney 0-2
Mar 06 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 1-2
Feb 23 Perth Glo… vs Macarthur… 0-1
Feb 20 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 2-0
Feb 13 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 1-1
Feb 02 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-0
Jan 22 Perth Glo… vs Sydney 1-2
Jan 19 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Macarthur FC struggling (4L in last 5) Home
  • Perth Glory struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 1 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 23, 2022 Perth Glory 0 - 1 Macarthur FC A-League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Macarthur FC to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Macarthur FC Power 0
Perth Glory Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Macarthur FC Position

+5

Position Gap

9

Perth Glory Position
Home Win Rate: 38%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.