AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
A-League Feb 23, 2022

Perth Glory

Home
VS
08:55

Macarthur FC

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Perth Glory Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Macarthur FC Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 40%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 30%
xG: 3.71 - 0.40
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.7 vs 0.4
High draw risk (30%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Perth Glory Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
9%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
19%
Macarthur FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
67%
1 goals:
27%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (11%) 1-0 (6%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (2%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 32%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Perth Glory Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 20 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 2-0
Feb 13 Perth Glo… vs Central C… 1-1
Feb 02 Perth Glo… vs Western S… 1-0
Jan 22 Perth Glo… vs Sydney 1-2
Jan 19 Perth Glo… vs Brisbane … 1-0
Nov 20 Perth Glo… vs Adelaide … 1-1
Apr 07 Perth Glo… vs Sydney 1-0
Macarthur FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 19 Macarthur… vs Adelaide … 4-1
Feb 13 Macarthur… vs Brisbane … 3-1
Feb 10 Macarthur… vs Central C… 3-3
Feb 06 Macarthur… vs Wellingto… 3-1
Dec 26 Macarthur… vs Sydney 0-3
Jun 20 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 2-0
May 14 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 3-1
Apr 24 Macarthur… vs Melbourne… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Macarthur FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Perth Glory Power 0
Macarthur FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Perth Glory Position

-5

Position Gap

4

Macarthur FC Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 38%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.