AI Match Insights

Liga MX Femenil Mar 18, 2022

Pumas UNAM Women

Home
VS
23:00

Atlas Women

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Pumas UNAM Women Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Atlas Women Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 72%
Standings 74%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 51%
xG: 1.17 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.2 vs 0.4 Position gap: 7 places
High draw risk (51%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Pumas UNAM Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
31%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Atlas Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (21%) 2-0 (15%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (8%) 3-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 21%
Over 2.5 Goals 20%
Under 2.5 Goals 80%
Pumas UNAM Women Form 8.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 01 Pumas UNA… vs Santos La… 4-0
Jan 24 Pumas UNA… vs Necaxa Wo… 1-0
Jan 15 Pumas UNA… vs América W… 0-1
Nov 20 Pumas UNA… vs Mazatlán … 4-0
Oct 18 Pumas UNA… vs Santos La… 2-0
Sep 05 Pumas UNA… vs América W… 2-2
Aug 22 Pumas UNA… vs Atlas Wom… 0-0
Jul 25 Pumas UNA… vs Atlético … 2-1
Jul 17 Pumas UNA… vs Necaxa Wo… 0-0
Apr 24 Pumas UNA… vs Atlas Wom… 1-1
Atlas Women Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Atlas Wom… vs Tijuana W… 6-1
Feb 12 Atlas Wom… vs Atlético … 1-1
Jan 17 Atlas Wom… vs Mazatlán … 1-1
Oct 30 Atlas Wom… vs Mazatlán … 0-3
Oct 05 Atlas Wom… vs Tijuana W… 1-2
Sep 12 Atlas Wom… vs Atlético … 0-0
Aug 22 Atlas Wom… vs Pumas UNA… 0-0
Jul 19 Atlas Wom… vs Toluca Wo… 2-3
Apr 24 Atlas Wom… vs Pumas UNA… 1-1
Apr 01 Atlas Wom… vs Atlético … 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Atlas Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
  • Pumas UNAM Women struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Aug 22, 2021 Atlas Women 0 - 0 Pumas UNAM Women Liga MX Femenil
Apr 24, 2021 Pumas UNAM Women 1 - 1 Atlas Women Liga MX Femenil
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Pumas UNAM Women to win (43% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 43% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_5+ (66.8%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Pumas UNAM Women Power 0
Atlas Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Pumas UNAM Women Position

+7

Position Gap

13

Atlas Women Position

Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.