AI Match Insights
Liga MX Femenil Aug 30, 2024
América Women
HomeVS
00:00
Juárez Women
AwayAI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
América Women Win
Draw
Juárez Women Win
Home Win
(49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%)
GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%)
GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%)
HOME_FORT (73.3%)
TOP5vsBOT (72.7%)
HWR60+ (68.3%)
POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score
40%
Momentum
81%
Standings
76%
Market
50%
Combined: 52%
Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 2.20 - 1.09
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.2 vs 1.1
Position gap: 8 places
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
América Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Juárez Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1 goals:
2 goals:
3 goals:
4 goals:
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (10%)
2-0 (9%)
1-1 (9%)
1-0 (8%)
3-1 (7%)
3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score)
59%
Over 2.5 Goals
61%
Under 2.5 Goals
39%
América Women Form 12.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 12 | América W… vs Necaxa Wo… | 4-0 |
| May 28 | América W… vs Monterrey… | 2-1 |
| May 25 | América W… vs Monterrey… | 1-0 |
| May 21 | América W… vs Tigres UA… | 1-0 |
| May 18 | América W… vs Tigres UA… | 3-1 |
| May 12 | América W… vs Guadalaja… | 4-1 |
| May 10 | América W… vs Guadalaja… | 0-2 |
| May 05 | América W… vs Juárez Wo… | 1-1 |
| Apr 30 | América W… vs Pachuca W… | 2-4 |
| Apr 23 | América W… vs Pumas UNA… | 3-0 |
Juárez Women Form 10.0%
| Date | Match | Result |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 26 | Juárez Wo… vs Tijuana W… | 4-0 |
| Aug 10 | Juárez Wo… vs Mazatlán … | 0-6 |
| Jul 19 | Juárez Wo… vs León Women | 1-0 |
| May 14 | Juárez Wo… vs Tigres UA… | 1-1 |
| May 11 | Juárez Wo… vs Tigres UA… | 0-1 |
| May 05 | Juárez Wo… vs América W… | 1-1 |
| Apr 30 | Juárez Wo… vs Monterrey… | 1-0 |
| Apr 26 | Juárez Wo… vs Tigres UA… | 1-0 |
| Apr 21 | Juárez Wo… vs Puebla Wo… | 3-3 |
| Apr 14 | Juárez Wo… vs Atlético … | 0-3 |
Key Analysis Factors
- América Women in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 5 matches
| Date | Home Team | Score | Away Team | League |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| May 05, 2024 | Juárez Women | 1 - 1 | América Women | Liga MX Femenil |
| Oct 08, 2023 | América Women | 5 - 2 | Juárez Women | Liga MX Femenil |
| May 22, 2023 | América Women | 5 - 1 | Juárez Women | Liga MX Femenil |
| May 20, 2023 | Juárez Women | 1 - 3 | América Women | Liga MX Femenil |
| Apr 03, 2023 | Juárez Women | 3 - 3 | América Women | Liga MX Femenil |
Final Verdict
STANDARD: América Women to win (63% confidence)
STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0
63% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_8+ (72.1%)
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%)
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
- No key factors identified
América Women Power
0
Juárez Women Power
0
Home Form
N/A
Away Form
N/A
League Standings Context
2
América Women Position+8
Position Gap10
Juárez Women Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 33%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis.
Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.