AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga MX Femenil Jul 17, 2022

Guadalajara Women

Home
VS
02:00

Necaxa Women

Away
AI Predictions 69.0% Confidence
Guadalajara Women Win
69.0%
Draw
20.2%
Necaxa Women Win
10.8%
Home Win (69% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
CS68+S65 (82.8%) S70+DR<22 (82.1%) S75+DR<25 (81.8%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) HWR75+DR<22 (80.6%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) CS68+S70+DR<25 (80.0%) GAP8+HWR60 (78.2%) GAP5+HWR70 (77.9%) HWR70+AWR<30 (75.9%) M85+S60 (75.3%) CS68+M80 (75.0%) HWR80+DR<25 (75.0%) GAP10_HWR60 (79.9%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) GAP5_HWR50 (73.5%) HOME_FORT (73.3%) TOP5vsBOT (72.7%) HWR60+ (68.3%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) CS65+DR<30 (68.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 91%
Market 50%
Combined: 68% Draw Risk: 14%
xG: 4.50 - 0.20
Key Insights
xG dominance: 4.5 vs 0.2 Position gap: 14 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Guadalajara Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
1%
1 goals:
5%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
17%
4 goals:
19%
Necaxa Women Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
82%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
2%
3 goals:
0%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (14%) 2-0 (9%) 1-0 (4%) 3-1 (3%) 2-1 (2%) 0-0 (1%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 18%
Over 2.5 Goals 55%
Under 2.5 Goals 45%
Guadalajara Women Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 29 Guadalaja… vs León Women 0-2
Mar 22 Guadalaja… vs Puebla Wo… 1-0
Feb 13 Guadalaja… vs Santos La… 1-0
Feb 04 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro… 2-2
Feb 01 Guadalaja… vs Cruz Azul… 1-0
Jan 28 Guadalaja… vs Necaxa Wo… 0-3
Nov 07 Guadalaja… vs Querétaro… 0-2
Oct 31 Guadalaja… vs Puebla Wo… 1-1
Sep 13 Guadalaja… vs Santos La… 5-4
Aug 15 Guadalaja… vs Necaxa Wo… 6-0
Necaxa Women Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
May 01 Necaxa Wo… vs Pachuca W… 1-1
Mar 15 Necaxa Wo… vs Monterrey… 5-2
Mar 05 Necaxa Wo… vs Mazatlán … 2-1
Jan 31 Necaxa Wo… vs América W… 3-0
Jan 28 Necaxa Wo… vs Guadalaja… 0-3
Jan 24 Necaxa Wo… vs Pumas UNA… 1-0
Oct 17 Necaxa Wo… vs Monterrey… 1-6
Sep 13 Necaxa Wo… vs Mazatlán … 3-0
Aug 30 Necaxa Wo… vs América W… 0-2
Aug 15 Necaxa Wo… vs Guadalaja… 6-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Guadalajara Women in strong form (4W in last 5) Home
  • Necaxa Women struggling (4L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 28, 2022 Necaxa Women 0 - 3 Guadalajara Women Liga MX Femenil
Aug 15, 2021 Guadalajara Women 6 - 0 Necaxa Women Liga MX Femenil
Feb 12, 2021 Necaxa Women 0 - 2 Guadalajara Women Liga MX Femenil
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Guadalajara Women to win (64% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 64% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Guadalajara Women Power 0
Necaxa Women Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

4

Guadalajara Women Position

+14

Position Gap

18

Necaxa Women Position
Home Win Rate: 100%
Away Win Rate: 0%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.