AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Liga Portugal 2 Mar 06, 2022

Penafiel FC

Home
VS
14:00

Chaves

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Penafiel FC Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Chaves Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Player Score 40%
Momentum 65%
Standings 32%
Market 50%
Combined: 41% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.15 - 0.75
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Penafiel FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
32%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Chaves Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
47%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (17%) 0-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 36%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Under 2.5 Goals 71%
Penafiel FC Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 23 Penafiel … vs FC Porto 3-1
Nov 19 Penafiel … vs Portimone… 0-3
Nov 07 Penafiel … vs Leixões SC 1-1
Oct 10 Penafiel … vs Chaves 3-1
Jul 25 Penafiel … vs Moreirense 1-1
Apr 10 Penafiel … vs Leixões SC 2-0
Mar 29 Penafiel … vs Chaves 2-1
Mar 03 Penafiel … vs Moreirense 1-0
Feb 21 Penafiel … vs FC Porto 0-0
Nov 09 Penafiel … vs Chaves 1-0
Chaves Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Chaves vs Benfica 1-1
Oct 10 Chaves vs Penafiel … 3-1
Oct 03 Chaves vs Benfica 3-1
Sep 25 Chaves vs Felgueira… 2-0
Mar 29 Chaves vs Penafiel … 2-1
Mar 07 Chaves vs Moreirense 0-1
Feb 14 Chaves vs Benfica 0-0
Nov 09 Chaves vs Penafiel … 1-0
Oct 20 Chaves vs Moreirense 0-2
Sep 23 Chaves vs Benfica 3-4
Key Analysis Factors
  • Penafiel FC struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Oct 10, 2021 Chaves 3 - 1 Penafiel FC Liga Portugal 2
Mar 29, 2021 Chaves 2 - 1 Penafiel FC Liga Portugal 2
Nov 09, 2020 Penafiel FC 1 - 0 Chaves Liga Portugal 2
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Penafiel FC Power 0
Chaves Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

18

Penafiel FC Position

-9

Position Gap

9

Chaves Position
Home Win Rate: 30%
Away Win Rate: 50%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.