AI Match Insights

King's Cup Oct 28, 2025

Al-Nassr

Home
VS
18:00

Al-Ittihad FC

Away
AI Predictions 67.0% Confidence
Al-Nassr Win
67.0%
Draw
20.6%
Al-Ittihad FC Win
12.4%
Home Win (67% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 60% Draw Risk: 8%
xG: 3.43 - 0.66
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.4 vs 0.7
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Al-Ittihad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
52%
1 goals:
34%
2 goals:
11%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (11%) 2-0 (10%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%) 1-1 (4%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 47%
Over 2.5 Goals 64%
Under 2.5 Goals 36%
Al-Nassr Form 20.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 25 Al-Nassr vs Al-Hazem 0-2
Oct 22 Al-Nassr vs Goa 1-2
Oct 18 Al-Nassr vs Al-Fateh … 5-1
Oct 01 Al-Nassr vs Al Zawra'a 0-2
Sep 26 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittiha… 0-2
Sep 23 Al-Nassr vs Jeddah Cl… 0-4
Sep 20 Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh 5-1
Sep 17 Al-Nassr vs Istiqlol 5-0
Sep 14 Al-Nassr vs Al Kholood 2-0
Aug 29 Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… 0-5
Al-Ittihad FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 24 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Hilal … 0-2
Oct 20 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Shorta… 1-4
Oct 17 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Fayha … 1-1
Sep 30 Al-Ittiha… vs Shabab Al… 0-1
Sep 26 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Nassr 0-2
Sep 23 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Wehda … 0-1
Sep 20 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Najma 0-1
Sep 15 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Wahda … 2-1
Sep 12 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Fateh … 4-2
Aug 30 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Akhdoud 2-5
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Nassr in strong form (5W in last 5) Home
  • Al-Ittihad FC struggling (3L in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 9 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 26, 2025 Al-Ittihad FC 0 - 2 Al-Nassr Pro League
Aug 19, 2025 Al-Ittihad FC 2 - 1 Al-Nassr Super Cup
May 07, 2025 Al-Nassr 2 - 3 Al-Ittihad FC Pro League
Dec 06, 2024 Al-Ittihad FC 2 - 1 Al-Nassr Pro League
May 27, 2024 Al-Nassr 4 - 2 Al-Ittihad FC Pro League
Dec 26, 2023 Al-Ittihad FC 2 - 5 Al-Nassr Pro League
Mar 09, 2023 Al-Ittihad FC 1 - 0 Al-Nassr Pro League
Jan 26, 2023 Al-Ittihad FC 3 - 1 Al-Nassr Super Cup
Oct 02, 2022 Al-Nassr 0 - 0 Al-Ittihad FC Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Nassr to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Nassr Power 0
Al-Ittihad FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.