AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Dec 26, 2023

Al-Ittihad FC

Home
VS
18:00

Al-Nassr

Away
AI Predictions 41.2% Confidence
Al-Ittihad FC Win
31.0%
Draw
27.8%
Al-Nassr Win
41.2%
Away Win (41% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 49% Draw Risk: 45%
xG: 3.48 - 1.83
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.5 vs 1.8
High draw risk (45%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ittihad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
3%
1 goals:
11%
2 goals:
19%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
19%
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
16%
1 goals:
29%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
16%
4 goals:
8%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 2-2 (5%) 3-3 (4%) 3-0 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 81%
Over 2.5 Goals 75%
Under 2.5 Goals 25%
Al-Ittihad FC Form 6.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 07 Al-Ittiha… vs Damac 3-1
Nov 24 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Ettifaq 1-1
Nov 03 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Shabab 1-0
Oct 26 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Hazem 2-2
Oct 20 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Taawou… 1-1
Sep 26 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Akhdoud 1-1
Sep 21 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Fateh … 2-1
Sep 14 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Akhdoud 0-1
Aug 24 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Riyadh 0-4
May 03 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Taawou… 2-1
Al-Nassr Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 22 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq 3-1
Dec 11 Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab 2-5
Dec 08 Al-Nassr vs Al Riyadh 4-1
Dec 05 Al-Nassr vs Istiqlol 1-1
Dec 01 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 3-0
Nov 24 Al-Nassr vs Al Akhdoud 3-0
Oct 31 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq 1-0
Oct 21 Al-Nassr vs Damac 2-1
Oct 02 Al-Nassr vs Istiqlol 3-1
Sep 22 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 4-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Nassr in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 09, 2023 Al-Ittihad FC 1 - 0 Al-Nassr Pro League
Jan 26, 2023 Al-Ittihad FC 3 - 1 Al-Nassr Super Cup
Oct 02, 2022 Al-Nassr 0 - 0 Al-Ittihad FC Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Ittihad FC Power 0
Al-Nassr Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Al-Ittihad FC Position

-3

Position Gap

3

Al-Nassr Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 70%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.