AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Mar 09, 2023

Al-Ittihad FC

Home
VS
17:30

Al-Nassr

Away
AI Predictions 47.0% Confidence
Al-Ittihad FC Win
47.0%
Draw
24.6%
Al-Nassr Win
28.4%
Home Win (47% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 44%
Market 50%
Combined: 48% Draw Risk: 33%
xG: 1.74 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.7 vs 0.4
High draw risk (33%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Ittihad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
18%
1 goals:
31%
2 goals:
27%
3 goals:
15%
4 goals:
7%
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (21%) 2-0 (18%) 0-0 (12%) 3-0 (11%) 1-1 (8%) 2-1 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 25%
Over 2.5 Goals 34%
Under 2.5 Goals 66%
Al-Ittihad FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 16 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Ettifaq 0-3
Jan 26 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Nassr 3-1
Jan 09 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Shabab 1-1
Dec 26 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Taawou… 3-0
Dec 22 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Shabab 1-1
Oct 11 Al-Ittiha… vs Damac 1-1
Oct 07 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Fateh … 3-1
Oct 02 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Nassr 0-0
Sep 03 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Ettifaq 0-0
Jun 23 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Ettifaq 1-3
Al-Nassr Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 25 Al-Nassr vs Damac 0-3
Feb 17 Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… 2-1
Jan 26 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittiha… 3-1
Jan 22 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq 1-0
Jan 14 Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab 0-0
Oct 02 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ittiha… 0-0
Sep 10 Al-Nassr vs Damac 2-1
Sep 03 Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… 1-0
May 28 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 1-1
May 06 Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab 4-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Ittihad FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
  • Al-Nassr in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 26, 2023 Al-Ittihad FC 3 - 1 Al-Nassr Super Cup
Oct 02, 2022 Al-Nassr 0 - 0 Al-Ittihad FC Pro League
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (23% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 23% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Ittihad FC Power 0
Al-Nassr Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

6

Al-Ittihad FC Position

-3

Position Gap

3

Al-Nassr Position
Home Win Rate: 60%
Away Win Rate: 70%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.