AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Pro League Oct 02, 2022

Al-Nassr

Home
VS
18:00

Al-Ittihad FC

Away
AI Predictions 39.0% Confidence
Al-Nassr Win
39.0%
Draw
26.2%
Al-Ittihad FC Win
34.8%
Home Win (39% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
HOME_FORT (73.3%) HWR60+ (68.3%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 81%
Standings 68%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 43%
xG: 2.61 - 1.52
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.6 vs 1.5
High draw risk (43%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Al-Nassr Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
7%
1 goals:
19%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
14%
Al-Ittihad FC Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
22%
1 goals:
33%
2 goals:
25%
3 goals:
13%
4 goals:
5%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (8%) 3-1 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 2-2 (6%) 3-2 (6%) 2-0 (5%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 72%
Over 2.5 Goals 73%
Under 2.5 Goals 27%
Al-Nassr Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 10 Al-Nassr vs Damac 2-1
Sep 03 Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… 1-0
May 28 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 1-1
May 06 Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab 4-2
Mar 11 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq 2-2
Jan 21 Al-Nassr vs Al Taawou… 0-1
Jan 08 Al-Nassr vs Damac 0-2
Dec 21 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ettifaq 1-0
Nov 26 Al-Nassr vs Al-Ahli S… 1-2
Nov 05 Al-Nassr vs Al Shabab 1-0
Al-Ittihad FC Form 16.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 03 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Ettifaq 0-0
Jun 23 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Ettifaq 1-3
May 06 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Fateh … 4-4
Mar 18 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Hazem 3-0
Mar 13 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Shabab 0-2
Mar 03 Al-Ittiha… vs Damac 2-1
Feb 21 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Taawou… 1-2
Feb 17 Al-Ittiha… vs Al Taawou… 1-1
Dec 26 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Ettifaq 3-2
Dec 20 Al-Ittiha… vs Al-Fateh … 2-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Al-Ittihad FC in strong form (3W in last 5) Away
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Al-Nassr to win (41% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 41% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_TOP_3 (62.5%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Al-Nassr Power 0
Al-Ittihad FC Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

3

Al-Nassr Position

+3

Position Gap

6

Al-Ittihad FC Position
Home Win Rate: 89%
Away Win Rate: 44%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.