AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Friendlies Clubs Mar 02, 2024

Sarpsborg 08

Home
VS
13:00

Moss

Away
AI Predictions 37.5% Confidence
Sarpsborg 08 Win
37.5%
Draw
26.5%
Moss Win
36.0%
Home Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 95%
Standings 50%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 25%
xG: 2.88 - 0.74
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.9 vs 0.7
High draw risk (25%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Sarpsborg 08 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
16%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
16%
Moss Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
48%
1 goals:
35%
2 goals:
13%
3 goals:
3%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (11%) 3-0 (11%) 2-1 (8%) 3-1 (8%) 1-0 (8%) 1-1 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 49%
Over 2.5 Goals 63%
Under 2.5 Goals 37%
Sarpsborg 08 Form 5.0%
Date Match Result
Dec 03 Sarpsborg… vs Bodø/Glimt 2-0
Nov 26 Sarpsborg… vs Molde 1-3
Mar 05 Sarpsborg… vs Moss 4-0
Jun 22 Sarpsborg… vs Moss 1-0
Moss Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 05 Moss vs Sarpsborg… 4-0
Jun 22 Moss vs Sarpsborg… 1-0
Key Analysis Factors
  • Sarpsborg 08 struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 2 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Mar 05, 2023 Sarpsborg 08 4 - 0 Moss Friendlies Clu…
Jun 22, 2022 Moss 1 - 0 Sarpsborg 08 NM Cupen
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Sarpsborg 08 to win (30% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-0 30% Confidence
Rules Passed
AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Sarpsborg 08 Power 0
Moss Power 0
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.