AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Feb 21, 2025

Celta de Vigo

Home
VS
20:00

Osasuna

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Celta de Vigo Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Osasuna Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 85%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 36%
xG: 2.34 - 0.95
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.3 vs 0.9
High draw risk (36%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Celta de Vigo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
10%
1 goals:
23%
2 goals:
26%
3 goals:
21%
4 goals:
12%
Osasuna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
39%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
18%
3 goals:
6%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0 (10%) 2-1 (10%) 1-0 (9%) 1-1 (8%) 3-0 (8%) 3-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 55%
Over 2.5 Goals 61%
Under 2.5 Goals 39%
Celta de Vigo Form 2.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 02 Celta de … vs Valencia 2-1
Jan 27 Celta de … vs Alavés 1-1
Jan 19 Celta de … vs Athletic … 1-2
Jan 16 Celta de … vs Real Madr… 5-2
Jan 10 Celta de … vs Rayo Vall… 2-1
Jan 05 Celta de … vs Santander 2-3
Dec 21 Celta de … vs Real Soci… 2-0
Dec 14 Celta de … vs Sevilla FC 1-0
Nov 30 Celta de … vs Espanyol 3-1
Nov 23 Celta de … vs FC Barcel… 2-2
Osasuna Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 15 Osasuna vs Real Madr… 1-1
Feb 10 Osasuna vs Mallorca 1-1
Feb 06 Osasuna vs Real Soci… 2-0
Feb 02 Osasuna vs Real Soci… 2-1
Jan 24 Osasuna vs Las Palmas 1-1
Jan 19 Osasuna vs Rayo Vall… 1-1
Jan 19 Osasuna vs Valencia 1-1
Jan 16 Osasuna vs Athletic … 2-3
Jan 12 Osasuna vs Real Madr… 1-0
Jan 04 Osasuna vs Tenerife 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Celta de Vigo struggling (4L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 8 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Sep 01, 2024 Osasuna 3 - 2 Celta de Vigo La Liga
Feb 04, 2024 Osasuna 0 - 3 Celta de Vigo La Liga
Aug 13, 2023 Celta de Vigo 0 - 2 Osasuna La Liga
Mar 06, 2023 Osasuna 0 - 0 Celta de Vigo La Liga
Nov 05, 2022 Celta de Vigo 1 - 2 Osasuna La Liga
Jan 19, 2022 Celta de Vigo 2 - 0 Osasuna La Liga
Aug 23, 2021 Osasuna 0 - 0 Celta de Vigo La Liga
Apr 25, 2021 Celta de Vigo 2 - 1 Osasuna La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Celta de Vigo Power 38
Osasuna Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Celta de Vigo Position

+2

Position Gap

9

Osasuna Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.