AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Sep 01, 2024

Osasuna

Home
VS
15:00

Celta de Vigo

Away
AI Predictions 39.6% Confidence
Osasuna Win
33.0%
Draw
27.4%
Celta de Vigo Win
39.6%
Away Win (40% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 79%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 47% Draw Risk: 55%
xG: 1.27 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 1.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (55%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Osasuna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
28%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
23%
3 goals:
10%
4 goals:
3%
Celta de Vigo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (25%) 0-0 (19%) 2-0 (16%) 1-1 (9%) 0-1 (7%) 3-0 (7%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 22%
Over 2.5 Goals 23%
Under 2.5 Goals 77%
Osasuna Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 29 Osasuna vs Girona 4-0
Aug 29 Osasuna vs Girona 4-0
Aug 24 Osasuna vs Mallorca 1-0
Aug 24 Osasuna vs Mallorca 1-0
Aug 17 Osasuna vs Levante 1-1
Aug 10 Osasuna vs Alavés 1-2
Aug 03 Osasuna vs Athletic … 2-1
Jul 31 Osasuna vs Real Soci… 1-2
Jul 27 Osasuna vs Huesca 2-1
Jul 24 Osasuna vs Huesca 0-0
Celta de Vigo Form 18.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 23 Celta de … vs Valencia 3-1
Aug 16 Celta de … vs Alavés 2-1
May 26 Celta de … vs Valencia 2-2
May 19 Celta de … vs Granada 1-2
May 15 Celta de … vs Athletic … 2-1
May 12 Celta de … vs Atlético … 1-0
May 05 Celta de … vs Villarreal 3-2
Apr 27 Celta de … vs Alavés 3-0
Mar 31 Celta de … vs Rayo Vall… 0-0
Mar 17 Celta de … vs Sevilla FC 1-2
Key Analysis Factors
  • Celta de Vigo in strong form (4W in last 5) Away
Head-to-Head History Last 7 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Feb 04, 2024 Osasuna 0 - 3 Celta de Vigo La Liga
Aug 13, 2023 Celta de Vigo 0 - 2 Osasuna La Liga
Mar 06, 2023 Osasuna 0 - 0 Celta de Vigo La Liga
Nov 05, 2022 Celta de Vigo 1 - 2 Osasuna La Liga
Jan 19, 2022 Celta de Vigo 2 - 0 Osasuna La Liga
Aug 23, 2021 Osasuna 0 - 0 Celta de Vigo La Liga
Apr 25, 2021 Celta de Vigo 2 - 1 Osasuna La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Osasuna Power 35
Celta de Vigo Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Osasuna Position

-2

Position Gap

7

Celta de Vigo Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.