AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Mar 06, 2023

Osasuna

Home
VS
20:00

Celta de Vigo

Away
AI Predictions 49.0% Confidence
Osasuna Win
49.0%
Draw
24.2%
Celta de Vigo Win
26.8%
Home Win (49% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 46%
Market 50%
Combined: 50% Draw Risk: 31%
xG: 3.32 - 0.37
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.3 vs 0.4
High draw risk (31%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Osasuna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
4%
1 goals:
12%
2 goals:
20%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
18%
Celta de Vigo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
69%
1 goals:
26%
2 goals:
5%
3 goals:
1%
4 goals:
0%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (15%) 2-0 (14%) 1-0 (8%) 3-1 (6%) 2-1 (5%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 30%
Over 2.5 Goals 59%
Under 2.5 Goals 41%
Osasuna Form 12.0%
Date Match Result
Mar 01 Osasuna vs Athletic … 1-0
Jan 14 Osasuna vs Mallorca 1-0
Jan 09 Osasuna vs Athletic … 0-0
Dec 14 Osasuna vs Girona 1-1
Nov 08 Osasuna vs FC Barcel… 1-2
Nov 05 Osasuna vs Celta de … 1-2
Oct 23 Osasuna vs Girona 1-1
Oct 17 Osasuna vs Villarreal 2-0
Sep 04 Osasuna vs Rayo Vall… 2-1
Jul 23 Osasuna vs Huesca 4-3
Celta de Vigo Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Feb 18 Celta de … vs Real Soci… 1-1
Jan 29 Celta de … vs Athletic … 1-0
Jan 03 Celta de … vs Espanyol 3-1
Dec 30 Celta de … vs Sevilla FC 1-1
Nov 10 Celta de … vs Rayo Vall… 0-0
Nov 05 Celta de … vs Osasuna 1-2
Oct 24 Celta de … vs Getafe 1-1
Oct 16 Celta de … vs Real Soci… 1-2
Sep 17 Celta de … vs Valencia 3-0
Aug 20 Celta de … vs Real Madr… 1-4
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Head-to-Head History Last 4 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Nov 05, 2022 Celta de Vigo 1 - 2 Osasuna La Liga
Jan 19, 2022 Celta de Vigo 2 - 0 Osasuna La Liga
Aug 23, 2021 Osasuna 0 - 0 Celta de Vigo La Liga
Apr 25, 2021 Celta de Vigo 2 - 1 Osasuna La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Osasuna Power 35
Celta de Vigo Power 38
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

9

Osasuna Position

-2

Position Gap

7

Celta de Vigo Position
Home Win Rate: 55%
Away Win Rate: 46%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.