AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
La Liga Nov 05, 2022

Celta de Vigo

Home
VS
17:30

Osasuna

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Celta de Vigo Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Osasuna Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 2-1
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 89%
Standings 58%
Market 50%
Combined: 51% Draw Risk: 41%
xG: 2.77 - 1.12
Key Insights
xG dominance: 2.8 vs 1.1
High draw risk (40%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Celta de Vigo Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
6%
1 goals:
17%
2 goals:
24%
3 goals:
22%
4 goals:
15%
Osasuna Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
33%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
21%
3 goals:
8%
4 goals:
2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1 (9%) 3-1 (8%) 2-0 (8%) 3-0 (7%) 1-1 (6%) 1-0 (6%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 68%
Under 2.5 Goals 32%
Celta de Vigo Form 4.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 24 Celta de … vs Getafe 1-1
Oct 16 Celta de … vs Real Soci… 1-2
Sep 17 Celta de … vs Valencia 3-0
Aug 20 Celta de … vs Real Madr… 1-4
Aug 13 Celta de … vs Espanyol 2-2
May 21 Celta de … vs Valencia 2-0
May 07 Celta de … vs Alavés 4-0
Apr 20 Celta de … vs Getafe 0-2
Apr 17 Celta de … vs Athletic … 0-2
Apr 10 Celta de … vs Espanyol 1-0
Osasuna Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 23 Osasuna vs Girona 1-1
Oct 17 Osasuna vs Villarreal 2-0
Sep 04 Osasuna vs Rayo Vall… 2-1
Jul 23 Osasuna vs Huesca 4-3
May 22 Osasuna vs Mallorca 0-2
Apr 10 Osasuna vs Alavés 1-0
Mar 19 Osasuna vs Levante 3-1
Mar 13 Osasuna vs FC Barcel… 4-0
Mar 05 Osasuna vs Villarreal 1-0
Feb 12 Osasuna vs Rayo Vall… 0-3
Key Analysis Factors
  • Celta de Vigo struggling (3L in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Jan 19, 2022 Celta de Vigo 2 - 0 Osasuna La Liga
Aug 23, 2021 Osasuna 0 - 0 Celta de Vigo La Liga
Apr 25, 2021 Celta de Vigo 2 - 1 Osasuna La Liga
Final Verdict

STANDARD: Draw expected (33% confidence)

STANDARD Tier
Predicted: 1-1 33% Confidence
Rules Passed
HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Celta de Vigo Power 38
Osasuna Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

7

Celta de Vigo Position

+2

Position Gap

9

Osasuna Position
Home Win Rate: 27%
Away Win Rate: 9%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.