AI Match Insights

Match Details Home
Premier League 2 Division One Oct 05, 2024

Aston Villa U21

Home
VS
11:00

Newcastle United U21

Away
AI Predictions 51.0% Confidence
Aston Villa U21 Win
51.0%
Draw
23.8%
Newcastle United U21 Win
25.2%
Home Win (51% confidence)
Predicted Score: 3-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
S70+DR<22 (82.1%) M75+S65+DR<22 (81.1%) M70+S70+DR<22 (80.6%) M85+S60 (75.3%) POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%) xG_ADV (67.5%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 94%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 65% Draw Risk: 19%
xG: 3.86 - 0.77
Key Insights
xG dominance: 3.9 vs 0.8 Position gap: 13 places
Score Prediction Analysis
Aston Villa U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
2%
1 goals:
8%
2 goals:
16%
3 goals:
20%
4 goals:
20%
Newcastle United U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
46%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
14%
3 goals:
4%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0 (9%) 2-0 (7%) 3-1 (7%) 2-1 (6%) 1-0 (4%) 1-1 (3%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 53%
Over 2.5 Goals 65%
Under 2.5 Goals 35%
Aston Villa U21 Form 14.0%
Date Match Result
Aug 16 Aston Vil… vs Derby Cou… 3-1
Apr 29 Aston Vil… vs Newcastle… 0-1
Dec 08 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 4-0
Nov 03 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 2-1
Sep 15 Aston Vil… vs Brighton … 2-2
Sep 01 Aston Vil… vs Derby Cou… 3-1
Apr 14 Aston Vil… vs Derby Cou… 3-0
Jan 09 Aston Vil… vs Newcastle… 0-2
Oct 29 Aston Vil… vs Derby Cou… 0-2
Oct 14 Aston Vil… vs Newcastle… 1-2
Newcastle United U21 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Oct 01 Newcastle… vs FC Halifa… 1-2
Aug 19 Newcastle… vs Sunderlan… 1-1
Apr 29 Newcastle… vs Aston Vil… 0-1
Mar 22 Newcastle… vs Middlesbr… 3-2
Mar 18 Newcastle… vs Sunderlan… 2-3
Mar 04 Newcastle… vs Wolves U21 2-2
Apr 03 Newcastle… vs Middlesbr… 0-0
Jan 30 Newcastle… vs Sunderlan… 2-1
Jan 09 Newcastle… vs Aston Vil… 0-2
Oct 31 Newcastle… vs Sunderlan… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors
  • Aston Villa U21 in strong form (3W in last 5) Home
Head-to-Head History Last 3 matches
Date Home Team Score Away Team League
Apr 29, 2024 Newcastle United U21 0 - 1 Aston Villa U21 Premier League…
Jan 09, 2023 Newcastle United U21 0 - 2 Aston Villa U21 Premier League…
Oct 14, 2022 Aston Villa U21 1 - 2 Newcastle United U21 Premier League…
Final Verdict

PRO: Aston Villa U21 to win (74% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 3-2 74% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aston Villa U21 Power 35
Newcastle United U21 Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Aston Villa U21 Position

+13

Position Gap

26

Newcastle United U21 Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.