AI Match Insights

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Premier League 2 Division One Oct 14, 2022

Aston Villa U21

Home
VS
17:00

Newcastle United U21

Away
AI Predictions 38.0% Confidence
Aston Villa U21 Win
35.0%
Draw
27.0%
Newcastle United U21 Win
38.0%
Away Win (38% confidence)
Predicted Score: 1-0
Decision Justification
Validated Rules (80%+ Accuracy from 90-Day Backtest)
POS_GAP_10+ (73.8%) POS_GAP_5+ (67.0%)
Player Score 40%
Momentum 50%
Standings 73%
Market 50%
Combined: 44% Draw Risk: 35%
xG: 0.00 - 0.00
Key Insights
Position gap: 13 places
High draw risk (35%) - confidence penalized
Score Prediction Analysis
Aston Villa U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
30%
1 goals:
36%
2 goals:
22%
3 goals:
9%
4 goals:
3%
Newcastle United U21 Goal Probabilities
0 goals:
41%
1 goals:
37%
2 goals:
17%
3 goals:
5%
4 goals:
1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0 (15%) 1-1 (13%) 0-0 (12%) 0-1 (11%) 2-0 (9%) 2-1 (8%)
BTTS (Both Teams Score) 41%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Under 2.5 Goals 65%
Aston Villa U21 Form 50%

No recent form data available

Newcastle United U21 Form 10.0%
Date Match Result
Sep 30 Newcastle… vs Middlesbr… 1-1
Key Analysis Factors

No specific factors identified for this match.

Final Verdict

PRO: Aston Villa U21 to win (74% confidence)

PRO Tier
Predicted: 3-2 74% Confidence
Rules Passed
POS_GAP_12+ (76.8%) AWAY_BOTTOM_5 (61.2%) HOME_ADVANTAGE
Key Factors
  • No key factors identified
Aston Villa U21 Power 35
Newcastle United U21 Power 35
Home Form N/A
Away Form N/A
League Standings Context

13

Aston Villa U21 Position

+13

Position Gap

26

Newcastle United U21 Position
Home Win Rate: 33%
Away Win Rate: 20%
Disclaimer: These AI predictions are based on historical data and statistical analysis. Football matches can be unpredictable, and actual results may vary significantly from predictions.